Ugo Humbert vs Adrian Mannarino
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 16
04 Feb 2026, 21:30
04 Feb 2026, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ugo Humbert
Ugo …: 71,5%
Adrian …: 28,5%
¿Por qué Ugo Humbert?
UTR 15,47 vs 15,23
(+0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Adrian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,18 | 5,00 | 84,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,50 | 71,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ugo …: -9,6%
Adrian …: +9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Adrian Mannarino
Ranking
#70
UTR Rating
15,23 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
15/36 = 41,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 32,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,8421 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6109 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 510,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,4023 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,8043 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8056 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,0690 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,6061 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2414 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,4613 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,6483 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,6500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4115 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,8845 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,5211 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,8950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7136 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7532 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0909 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,9685 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4278 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,4639 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0887 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0513 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,4023 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8506 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5635 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25369
API ID
15441200
Gamdom ID
638725
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25369,
"api_id": 15441200,
"gamdom_id": 638725,
"player1": "Ugo Humbert",
"player2": "Adrian Mannarino",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-04T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 5.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.18,
"p2": 4.69
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7145,
"prob_p2": 0.2855,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7145,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.47,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 70,
"utr_singles": 15.23,
"utr_ranking": 57,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 57,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8505882352941176,
"utr_diff": 0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.8421052631578947,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 510,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.41149425287355257,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.06896551724138,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": 1.5635179153094474,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6109090823229731,
"rank_advantage": 32,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.09090909090909091,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.40229885057471,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.884482758620699,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.461283524904218,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7135678391959799,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7531645569620253,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.521072796934866,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.648275862068985,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2413793103448276,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.968515086595915,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.427789236641406,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.463949668083645,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.60606060606061,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.6500000000000057,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8055555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.895000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.40229885057471,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08868965517241378,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05133333333333323,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.804292929292934,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}