Ugo Blanchet vs Arthur Fils
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 23:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fils
Ugo …: 25,1% Arthur …: 74,9%
¿Por qué Arthur Fils?
UTR 14,54 vs 15,50 (-0,96) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ugo … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 3,85 1,27 26,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,98 1,34 25,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Ugo …: +1,3% Arthur …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #161
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 21/35 = 60,0%
Arthur Fils
Ranking #42
UTR Rating 15,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #21
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -132,0000
rank_ratio 0,2414
log_rank_ratio -1,4214
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -767,0000
best_rank_diff -125,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,0932
surface_matches_ratio 1,9444
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 61,1111
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,0909
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -0,3530
first_serve_won_diff -0,2060
second_serve_won_diff 1,0927
bp_saved_diff 3,5171
bp_converted_diff -3,3254
aces_per_match_diff -0,2889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 62,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -16,6800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7943
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1019
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5714
serve_consistency_p1 9,1353
serve_consistency_p2 6,6174
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,5793
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2320
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0209
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,9600
utr_p1 0,7694
utr_p2 0,8824
utr_advantage -6,3915
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25373
API ID 15441190
Gamdom ID 638736
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25373,
    "api_id": 15441190,
    "gamdom_id": 638736,
    "player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
    "player2": "Arthur Fils",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-05T19:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.85,
      "p2": 1.27
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.9,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2512,
    "prob_p2": 0.7488,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7488,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.54,
      "utr_ranking": 161,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 42,
      "utr_singles": 15.5,
      "utr_ranking": 21,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 161,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.5,
      "ranking": 21,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.9600000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2413793103448276,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": -767,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.517142857142858,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
    "utr_advantage": -6.39147802929428,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -125,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.4213856809311607,
    "rank_advantage": -132,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.1111111111111143,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.3253968253968225,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -0.3529841269841256,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1018518518518519,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.28888888888888964,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.2060317460317549,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.135315592676127,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.617396628088407,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.5793174232568497,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.092698412698411,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9444444444444444,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.680000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23199999999999998,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.020888888888888846,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.0932400932400924,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}