Ugo Blanchet vs Arthur Fils
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 23:35
05 Feb 2026, 23:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Arthur Fils
Ugo …: 25,1%
Arthur …: 74,9%
¿Por qué Arthur Fils?
UTR 14,54 vs 15,50
(-0,96)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ugo … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 3,85 | 1,27 | 26,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,98 | 1,34 | 25,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Ugo …: +1,3%
Arthur …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ugo Blanchet
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#161
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
21/35 = 60,0%
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -132,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2414 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,4214 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -767,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -125,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,0932 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0,3530 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,2060 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0927 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,5171 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,3254 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7943 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1353 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6174 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,5793 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2320 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0209 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,9600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7694 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,3915 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25373
API ID
15441190
Gamdom ID
638736
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25373,
"api_id": 15441190,
"gamdom_id": 638736,
"player1": "Ugo Blanchet",
"player2": "Arthur Fils",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-05T19:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.85,
"p2": 1.27
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.9,
"p2": 1.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2512,
"prob_p2": 0.7488,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7488,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 174,
"utr_singles": 14.54,
"utr_ranking": 161,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.5,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 161,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"utr_diff": -0.9600000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 0.2413793103448276,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": -767,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.517142857142858,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
"utr_advantage": -6.39147802929428,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -125,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.4213856809311607,
"rank_advantage": -132,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8666666666666667,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.1111111111111143,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.3253968253968225,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.3529841269841256,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7943262411347518,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1018518518518519,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.28888888888888964,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.2060317460317549,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.135315592676127,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.617396628088407,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.5793174232568497,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.092698412698411,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9444444444444444,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.680000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23199999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.020888888888888846,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.0932400932400924,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}