Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Juan Bautista Torres
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 83,4% Juan …: 16,6%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,33 3,25 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,20 6,01 83,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: +12,4% Juan …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 31/46 = 67,4%
Juan Bautista Torres
Ranking #353
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 23/47 = 48,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 268,0000
rank_ratio 4,1529
log_rank_ratio 1,4238
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 560,0000
best_rank_diff 155,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18,4551
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,9804
surface_matches_ratio 0,9787
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 67,3913
surface_wr_p2 48,9362
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,0196
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3478
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 11,4693
first_serve_won_diff 7,4000
second_serve_won_diff 6,2000
bp_saved_diff 5,4000
bp_converted_diff -0,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,9547
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,6300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0652
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2727
serve_consistency_p1 6,7393
serve_consistency_p2 10,2012
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 26,2767
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0941
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2574
elite_surface_amplifier 36,9103
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7812
utr_p2 0,7812
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25375
API ID 15440891
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25375,
    "api_id": 15440891,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Juan Bautista Torres",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-05T00:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8337,
    "prob_p2": 0.1663,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8337,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 353,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.93617021276596,
      "wr_surface_wins": 23,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 4.152941176470589,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 560,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.3999999999999915,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -1.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.93617021276596,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 155,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4238168004429803,
    "rank_advantage": 268,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 18.455134135060135,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.7000000000000028,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 11.469343200740056,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.9546716003700277,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.7392612949931765,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.201203250352494,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 26.27673003592735,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.01960784313725,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 6.199999999999989,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9787234042553191,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.6299999999999955,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 36.91026827012027,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09408695652173904,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2573617021276596,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.98039215686275,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}