Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Juan Bautista Torres
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 04:30
05 Feb 2026, 04:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 83,4%
Juan …: 16,6%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,20 | 6,01 | 83,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: +12,4%
Juan …: -12,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
31/46 = 67,4%
Juan Bautista Torres
Ranking
#353
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
23/47 = 48,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 268,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,1529 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4238 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 560,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 155,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 18,4551 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,9804 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9787 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67,3913 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,9362 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49,0196 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3478 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 11,4693 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9547 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2727 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,7393 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,2012 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 26,2767 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0941 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2574 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 36,9103 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25375
API ID
15440891
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25375,
"api_id": 15440891,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"player2": "Juan Bautista Torres",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-05T00:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8337,
"prob_p2": 0.1663,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8337,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 353,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.93617021276596,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 47,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.64,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 4.152941176470589,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 560,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.3999999999999915,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -1.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.93617021276596,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 155,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4238168004429803,
"rank_advantage": 268,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 18.455134135060135,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.7000000000000028,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 47,
"serve_quality_diff": 11.469343200740056,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.9546716003700277,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.7392612949931765,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.201203250352494,
"surface_rank_synergy": 26.27673003592735,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.01960784313725,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.199999999999989,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9787234042553191,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.6299999999999955,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 36.91026827012027,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09408695652173904,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2573617021276596,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.98039215686275,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}