Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Andrea Pellegrino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 01:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Pellegrino
Luciano …: 23,8% Andrea …: 76,3%
¿Por qué Andrea Pellegrino?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Luciano … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,0%
IA Fair Odds 4,21 1,31 23,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Luciano …: -11,6% Andrea …: +11,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Ranking #424
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 17/33 = 51,5%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 28/45 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -281,0000
rank_ratio 0,3373
log_rank_ratio -1,0869
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -320,0000
best_rank_diff -216,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10,7071
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,8731
surface_matches_ratio 0,7333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,5152
surface_wr_p2 62,2222
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,3514
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,2245
p1_surface_matches 33,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0303
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,0002
first_serve_won_diff -2,0000
second_serve_won_diff -4,6000
bp_saved_diff -7,1000
bp_converted_diff 12,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,1899
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 90,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,2500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 11,7391
serve_consistency_p2 10,0430
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,6374
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2962
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1588
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7518
utr_p2 0,7518
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25376
API ID 15440892
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25376,
    "api_id": 15440892,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi",
    "player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-04T21:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.63,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.35,
      "p2": 1.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2375,
    "prob_p2": 0.7625,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7625,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 424,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 14.39,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.39,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.33726415094339623,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -320,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.100000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 47.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.515151515151516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.22222222222222,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -216,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.0868888249720505,
    "rank_advantage": -281,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -10.707070707070706,
    "bp_converted_diff": 12.399999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 33,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.0002020202020176,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.1898989898989898,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.030303030303030304,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.739136230799609,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.042966009781033,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.637395499700741,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.35135135135135,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.224489795918366,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.25,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29615151515151517,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1587777777777778,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.873138444567019,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}