Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 01:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Nikolas …: 63,8% Valerio …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
UTR 14,13 vs 13,67 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Nikolas …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nikolas … Valerio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,00 73,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,57 2,76 63,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Nikolas …: -5,0% Valerio …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking #279
UTR Rating 14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #320
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 16/32 = 50,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #575
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 56% (9p)
WR Clay 10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025 30W - 19L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 221,0000
rank_ratio 1,7921
log_rank_ratio 0,5834
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 187,0000
best_rank_diff 262,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -5,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,6364
surface_matches_ratio 1,7778
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,3278
first_serve_won_diff -1,7000
second_serve_won_diff 1,0000
bp_saved_diff -6,4000
bp_converted_diff 11,1000
aces_per_match_diff -3,3889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,5000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 15,2108
serve_consistency_p2 5,4640
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -3,2411
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2210
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2766
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,7212
utr_p2 0,6671
utr_advantage 3,3094
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25377
API ID 15440894
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25377,
    "api_id": 15440894,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
    "player2": "Valerio Aboian",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-04T21:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.25
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6382,
    "prob_p2": 0.3618,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6382,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 279,
      "utr_singles": 14.13,
      "utr_ranking": 320,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.67,
      "utr_ranking": 575,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.16,
          "opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.13,
      "ranking": 320,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.67,
      "ranking": 575,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7211764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7921146953405018,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": 187,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.399999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 3.3093525179856176,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 262,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5833963166008261,
    "rank_advantage": 221,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.327777777777783,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.3888888888888893,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.21079313289955,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.4639976842880005,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -3.2410906477823684,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22099999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27655555555555555,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.636363636363632,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}