Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 01:40
05 Feb 2026, 01:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Nikolas …: 63,8%
Valerio …: 36,2%
¿Por qué Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo?
UTR 14,13 vs 13,67
(+0,46)
— Niveles similares
Nikolas …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nikolas … | Valerio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,00 | 73,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,57 | 2,76 | 63,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nikolas …: -5,0%
Valerio …: +5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#320
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
16/32 = 50,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#575
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Clay
10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025
30W - 19L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 221,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7921 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5834 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 187,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 262,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,5556 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,6364 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,7778 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,3278 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,3889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,2108 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4640 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,2411 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2210 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2766 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6671 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3094 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25377
API ID
15440894
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25377,
"api_id": 15440894,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo",
"player2": "Valerio Aboian",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-02-04T21:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6382,
"prob_p2": 0.3618,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6382,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.13,
"utr_ranking": 320,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.67,
"utr_ranking": 575,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.16,
"opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.13,
"ranking": 320,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.67,
"ranking": 575,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
"rank_ratio": 1.7921146953405018,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": 187,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.399999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 3.3093525179856176,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 262,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5833963166008261,
"rank_advantage": 221,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.555555555555557,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.100000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.327777777777783,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.3888888888888893,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.21079313289955,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.4639976842880005,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.2410906477823684,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7777777777777777,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22099999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.27655555555555555,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.636363636363632,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}