Viktor Durasovic vs Jack Draper
Davis Cup | |
05 Feb 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jack Draper
Viktor …: 8,6% Jack …: 91,4%
¿Por qué Jack Draper?
UTR 14,03 vs 15,85 (-1,82) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktor … Jack … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 6,50 1,10 15,4%
Gamdom 6,00 1,13 16,7%
IA Fair Odds 11,57 1,09 8,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktor …: -5,8% Jack …: +5,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktor Durasovic
Ranking #313
UTR Rating 14,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #380
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Jack Draper
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -300,0000
rank_ratio 0,0415
log_rank_ratio -3,1813
rank_tier_advantage -4,0000
points_diff -2626,0000
best_rank_diff -218,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -35,6863
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,3718
surface_matches_ratio 0,8824
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 82,3529
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,3684
surface_wr_p2_stable 76,1905
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -17,8422
first_serve_won_diff -8,9000
second_serve_won_diff -6,0000
bp_saved_diff -10,6000
bp_converted_diff -0,4000
aces_per_match_diff -5,7961
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -31,6650
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 164,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1940
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 7,9649
serve_consistency_p2 6,3885
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 113,5271
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2667
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0235
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,8200
utr_p1 0,7094
utr_p2 0,9235
utr_advantage -12,1821
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25396
API ID 15482785
Gamdom ID 659855
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25396,
    "api_id": 15482785,
    "gamdom_id": 659855,
    "player1": "Viktor Durasovic",
    "player2": "Jack Draper",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-05T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 6.5,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 6.0,
      "p2": 1.13
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.39,
      "p2": 1.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0864,
    "prob_p2": 0.9136,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9136,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 313,
      "utr_singles": 14.03,
      "utr_ranking": 380,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.85,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.03,
      "ranking": 380,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.85,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -1.8200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 0.04153354632587859,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -2626,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.600000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 82.35294117647058,
    "utr_advantage": -12.182061579651943,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -218,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -3.1812538330786166,
    "rank_advantage": -300,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -35.686274509803916,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -17.842156862745092,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1940298507462686,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.796078431372549,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.899999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.964942765705431,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.388510600557858,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 113.52709757260943,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.19047619047619,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8823529411764706,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -31.665000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 164,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26666666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.0235294117647058,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.371762740183794,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}