Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Cameron Norrie
Davis Cup | |
05 Feb 2026, 22:10
05 Feb 2026, 22:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai …: 73,3%
Cameron …: 26,7%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolai … | Cameron … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,30 | 29,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,42 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,36 | 3,74 | 73,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nicolai …: +45,6%
Cameron …: -45,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#133
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Cameron Norrie
Ranking
#26
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1955 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6323 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1167,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -124,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,7778 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,0091 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3600 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,7783 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,8276 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5556 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4511 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 19,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,7156 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,6860 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0068 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,6128 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,8313 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -55,1339 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3848 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1670 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25397
API ID
15482793
Gamdom ID
660112
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25397,
"api_id": 15482793,
"gamdom_id": 660112,
"player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"player2": "Cameron Norrie",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-05T18:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.42
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.83,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7328,
"prob_p2": 0.2672,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7328,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 133,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 26,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.19548872180451127,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -1167,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 77.77777777777779,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -124,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6322525902002718,
"rank_advantage": -107,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.777777777777786,
"bp_converted_diff": 19.400000000000006,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 25,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.451111111111111,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.7155555555555555,
"combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.612755167523218,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.831344913748518,
"surface_rank_synergy": -55.13386526898697,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.77828054298642,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.399999999999991,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.36,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.686,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3847777777777779,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16699999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.009101783949648,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}