Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Cameron Norrie
Davis Cup | |
05 Feb 2026, 22:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai …: 73,3% Cameron …: 26,7%
¿Por qué Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolai … Cameron … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,40 1,30 29,4%
Gamdom 2,90 1,42 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,36 3,74 73,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolai …: +45,6% Cameron …: -45,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #133
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -107,0000
rank_ratio 0,1955
log_rank_ratio -1,6323
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1167,0000
best_rank_diff -124,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 33,7778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,0091
surface_matches_ratio 0,3600
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 77,7778
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7783
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5556
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,4511
first_serve_won_diff 0,4000
second_serve_won_diff 9,4000
bp_saved_diff -1,7000
bp_converted_diff 19,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,7156
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -19,6860
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0068
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 10,6128
serve_consistency_p2 8,8313
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -55,1339
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3848
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1670
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8671
utr_p2 0,8671
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25397
API ID 15482793
Gamdom ID 660112
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25397,
    "api_id": 15482793,
    "gamdom_id": 660112,
    "player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "player2": "Cameron Norrie",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-05T18:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.4,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.83,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7328,
    "prob_p2": 0.2672,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7328,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 133,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.37,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
    "utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.19548872180451127,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -1167,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 77.77777777777779,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -124,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6322525902002718,
    "rank_advantage": -107,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 33.777777777777786,
    "bp_converted_diff": 19.400000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.451111111111111,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.7155555555555555,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.612755167523218,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.831344913748518,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -55.13386526898697,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.77828054298642,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.399999999999991,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.36,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -19.686,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3847777777777779,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.16699999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.009101783949648,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}