Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 16
05 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Titouan …: 36,3% Aleksandar …: 63,7%
¿Por qué Aleksandar Kovacevic?
UTR 14,53 vs 14,81 (-0,28) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Titouan … Aleksandar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,78 2,04 56,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,75 1,57 36,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Titouan …: -16,3% Aleksandar …: +16,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #174
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking #83
UTR Rating 14,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -67,0000
rank_ratio 0,5533
log_rank_ratio -0,5918
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -306,0000
best_rank_diff -76,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,4928
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,8824
surface_matches_ratio 0,6522
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 56,6667
surface_wr_p2 52,1739
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,8824
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,0000
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 46,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1333
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,4182
first_serve_won_diff 0,8449
second_serve_won_diff 0,8359
bp_saved_diff -2,1162
bp_converted_diff -2,3959
aces_per_match_diff 0,3725
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 37,0500
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4286
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4500
serve_consistency_p1 5,9923
serve_consistency_p2 5,7587
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,6588
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1337
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0453
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2800
utr_p1 0,7682
utr_p2 0,8012
utr_advantage -1,9087
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25398
API ID 15441195
Gamdom ID 638733
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25398,
    "api_id": 15441195,
    "gamdom_id": 638733,
    "player1": "Titouan Droguet",
    "player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-02-05T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 2.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 1.98
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3633,
    "prob_p2": 0.6367,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6367,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 174,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 83,
      "utr_singles": 14.81,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 174,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8011764705882354,
    "utr_diff": -0.28000000000000114,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5533333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -306,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1162318840579744,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 49.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 52.17391304347826,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9086571233810574,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -76,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5917946862996578,
    "rank_advantage": -67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.492753623188406,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.395942028985509,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 46,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.418173913043475,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.3724637681159413,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.8449275362318787,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.13333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.992327557459355,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.758747075538915,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.658787721056434,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.8359420289854995,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6521739130434783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 37.05,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1336666666666666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.045260869565217354,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.882352941176471,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}