Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
07 Feb 2026, 02:00
07 Feb 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Chun-Hsin …: 80,5%
Valerio …: 19,5%
¿Por qué Chun-Hsin Tseng?
UTR 14,33 vs 13,67
(+0,66)
— Niveles similares
Chun-Hsin …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Chun-Hsin … | Valerio … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,28 | 3,50 | 78,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,24 | 5,12 | 80,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Chun-Hsin …: +7,2%
Valerio …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
21/35 = 60,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking
#575
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025
30W - 19L (61%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 378,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,0984 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4106 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 504,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 417,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,4444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,5431 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,9444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,9744 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,6537 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1032 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,1174 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1642 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6,2693 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2780 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,4336 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 4,4444 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6671 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7143 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25407
API ID
15440900
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25407,
"api_id": 15440900,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Chun-Hsin Tseng",
"player2": "Valerio Aboian",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-02-06T22:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.28,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.19,
"p2": 4.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8046,
"prob_p2": 0.1954,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8046,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 122,
"utr_singles": 14.33,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.67,
"utr_ranking": 575,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.43,
"opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.77,
"opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.16,
"opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.33,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.67,
"ranking": 575,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
"utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 4.098360655737705,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 504,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"utr_advantage": 4.714285714285715,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 417,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.410587053688935,
"rank_advantage": 378,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.444444444444443,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.400000000000002,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.6536507936507974,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1031746031746037,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.400000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.117386686576324,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.164208468106395,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.269275794173042,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.9444444444444444,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.47999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 4.444444444444443,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.278,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4335555555555556,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.543123543123551,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}