Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Valerio Aboian
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
07 Feb 2026, 02:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Chun-Hsin …: 80,5% Valerio …: 19,5%
¿Por qué Chun-Hsin Tseng?
UTR 14,33 vs 13,67 (+0,66) — Niveles similares
Chun-Hsin …
Sin datos
Valerio …
W30-L19
61% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Chun-Hsin … Valerio … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,28 3,50 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,12 80,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Chun-Hsin …: +7,2% Valerio …: -7,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Ranking #122
UTR Rating 14,33 Pro
UTR Ranking #216
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 21/35 = 60,0%
Valerio Aboian
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #575
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 10/18 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Sin datos UTR v4
Valerio Aboian
Record 2025 30W - 19L (61%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 378,0000
rank_ratio 4,0984
log_rank_ratio 1,4106
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 504,0000
best_rank_diff 417,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,4444
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,5431
surface_matches_ratio 1,9444
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,9744
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,5455
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,6537
first_serve_won_diff 4,4000
second_serve_won_diff 2,2000
bp_saved_diff 3,5000
bp_converted_diff -2,4000
aces_per_match_diff -1,1032
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,4800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1174
serve_consistency_p2 5,1642
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,2693
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2780
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4336
elite_surface_amplifier 4,4444
UTR
utr_diff 0,6600
utr_p1 0,7447
utr_p2 0,6671
utr_advantage 4,7143
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25407
API ID 15440900
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25407,
    "api_id": 15440900,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Chun-Hsin Tseng",
    "player2": "Valerio Aboian",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-02-06T22:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8046,
    "prob_p2": 0.1954,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8046,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 122,
      "utr_singles": 14.33,
      "utr_ranking": 216,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.67,
      "utr_ranking": 575,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.224489795918366,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.32,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Rocco Valente"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.77,
          "opponent_name": "Thiago Cigarran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Lucca Pinto"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.16,
          "opponent_name": "Tadeo Meneo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Samuel Heredia"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:56.009638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 18,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.33,
      "ranking": 216,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.67,
      "ranking": 575,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7447058823529412,
    "utr_p2": 0.6670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": 0.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 4.098360655737705,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 504,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": 4.714285714285715,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 417,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.410587053688935,
    "rank_advantage": 378,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.444444444444443,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.400000000000002,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.6536507936507974,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1031746031746037,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.400000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.117386686576324,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.164208468106395,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.269275794173042,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.97435897435898,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.9444444444444444,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.47999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 4.444444444444443,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.278,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.4335555555555556,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.543123543123551,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}