Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jack Draper
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 21:45
06 Feb 2026, 21:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jack Draper
Nicolai …: 22,2%
Jack …: 77,8%
¿Por qué Jack Draper?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nicolai … | Jack … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,17 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 4,90 | 1,18 | 20,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,50 | 1,29 | 22,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nicolai …: +1,6%
Jack …: -1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking
#133
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Jack Draper
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -120,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0977 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,3254 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -2314,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -128,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,5752 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,6567 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5294 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82,3529 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,7783 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 76,1905 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5556 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,1277 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 11,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,9739 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24,0950 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 164,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1940 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,6128 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3885 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 10,6391 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3978 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2035 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9235 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25411
API ID
15482792
Gamdom ID
661702
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25411,
"api_id": 15482792,
"gamdom_id": 661702,
"player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
"player2": "Jack Draper",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T17:45:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1666666666666667
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.9,
"p2": 1.18
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.83,
"p2": 1.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2222,
"prob_p2": 0.7778,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7778,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 133,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 15.85,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.85,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9235294117647058,
"utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.09774436090225563,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -2314,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 77.77777777777779,
"surface_wr_p2": 82.35294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -128,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.325399770760217,
"rank_advantage": -120,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.575163398692794,
"bp_converted_diff": 11.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.127712418300661,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1940298507462686,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.973856209150327,
"combined_confidence": 0.4933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.09999999999999432,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.612755167523218,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.388510600557858,
"surface_rank_synergy": 10.639083918510758,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.77828054298642,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.19047619047619,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999915,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5294117647058824,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.095000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 164,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3977777777777779,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20352941176470585,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6566831860949516,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}