Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Jack Draper
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 21:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jack Draper
Nicolai …: 22,2% Jack …: 77,8%
¿Por qué Jack Draper?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nicolai … Jack … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,17 22,2%
Gamdom 4,90 1,18 20,4%
IA Fair Odds 4,50 1,29 22,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Nicolai …: +1,6% Jack …: -1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Ranking #133
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Jack Draper
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -120,0000
rank_ratio 0,0977
log_rank_ratio -2,3254
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -2314,0000
best_rank_diff -128,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,5752
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,6567
surface_matches_ratio 0,5294
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 77,7778
surface_wr_p2 82,3529
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,7783
surface_wr_p2_stable 76,1905
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5556
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,4933
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,1277
first_serve_won_diff -0,1000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9000
bp_saved_diff -3,5000
bp_converted_diff 11,6000
aces_per_match_diff -3,9739
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -24,0950
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 164,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1940
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 10,6128
serve_consistency_p2 6,3885
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 10,6391
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3978
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2035
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9235
utr_p2 0,9235
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25411
API ID 15482792
Gamdom ID 661702
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25411,
    "api_id": 15482792,
    "gamdom_id": 661702,
    "player1": "Nicolai Budkov Kjaer",
    "player2": "Jack Draper",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T17:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1666666666666667
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.9,
      "p2": 1.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.83,
      "p2": 1.17
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2222,
    "prob_p2": 0.7778,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7778,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 133,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.85,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.85,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9235294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.09774436090225563,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -2314,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 77.77777777777779,
    "surface_wr_p2": 82.35294117647058,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -128,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.325399770760217,
    "rank_advantage": -120,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.575163398692794,
    "bp_converted_diff": 11.600000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.127712418300661,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1940298507462686,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.973856209150327,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4933333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.09999999999999432,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.612755167523218,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.388510600557858,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 10.639083918510758,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.77828054298642,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 76.19047619047619,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999915,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5294117647058824,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -24.095000000000006,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 164,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3977777777777779,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20352941176470585,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.6566831860949516,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}