Viktor Durasovic vs Cameron Norrie
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 23:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Viktor …: 35,0% Cameron …: 65,0%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 14,03 vs 15,37 (-1,34) — Ligera ventaja
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Viktor … Cameron … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,50 1,17 22,2%
Gamdom 7,80 1,08 12,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,86 1,54 35,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Viktor …: +14,4% Cameron …: -14,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktor Durasovic
Ranking #313
UTR Rating 14,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #380
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -287,0000
rank_ratio 0,0831
log_rank_ratio -2,4881
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1479,0000
best_rank_diff -214,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,6939
surface_matches_ratio 0,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,6667
surface_wr_p2 44,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,3684
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,8276
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,6667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,2633
first_serve_won_diff -8,4000
second_serve_won_diff 0,5000
bp_saved_diff -8,8000
bp_converted_diff 7,4000
aces_per_match_diff -1,1067
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -27,2560
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0068
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5385
serve_consistency_p1 7,9649
serve_consistency_p2 8,8313
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -6,6350
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2537
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3470
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3400
utr_p1 0,7094
utr_p2 0,8671
utr_advantage -9,1156
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25412
API ID 15482795
Gamdom ID 661701
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25412,
    "api_id": 15482795,
    "gamdom_id": 661701,
    "player1": "Viktor Durasovic",
    "player2": "Cameron Norrie",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T19:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.5,
      "p2": 1.1666666666666667
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.8,
      "p2": 1.08
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.96,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.35,
    "prob_p2": 0.65,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 313,
      "utr_singles": 14.03,
      "utr_ranking": 380,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 26,
      "utr_singles": 15.37,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.03,
      "ranking": 380,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.37,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.8670588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -1.3399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.08306709265175719,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -1479,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.800000000000004,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -20.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.115646258503402,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -214,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.4881066525186712,
    "rank_advantage": -287,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.6666666666666643,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.400000000000006,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.263333333333321,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1066666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -8.399999999999991,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.964942765705431,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.831344913748518,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -6.634951073383117,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.827586206896555,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -27.256,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.25366666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.34700000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.69388989715668,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}