Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Andrea Pellegrino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
07 Feb 2026, 00:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 64,6% Andrea …: 35,4%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
UTR 14,64 vs 14,39 (+0,25) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Juan … Andrea … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,63 69,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,82 64,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Juan …: -0,1% Andrea …: +0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #142
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 31/46 = 67,4%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking #143
UTR Rating 14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #206
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 28/45 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 58,0000
rank_ratio 1,6824
log_rank_ratio 0,5202
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 267,0000
best_rank_diff 55,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 5,1691
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,7755
surface_matches_ratio 1,0222
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 67,3913
surface_wr_p2 62,2222
surface_wr_p1_stable 66,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,2245
p1_surface_matches 46,0000
p2_surface_matches 45,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3478
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,2847
first_serve_won_diff 2,5000
second_serve_won_diff -2,2000
bp_saved_diff -2,5000
bp_converted_diff 7,8000
aces_per_match_diff 1,8473
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,8760
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0652
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5556
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6875
serve_consistency_p1 5,9740
serve_consistency_p2 9,8805
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,6889
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1159
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1802
elite_surface_amplifier 5,1691
UTR
utr_diff 0,2500
utr_p1 0,7812
utr_p2 0,7518
utr_advantage 1,7224
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25427
API ID 15440890
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rosario, Argentina
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25427,
    "api_id": 15440890,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
    "tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-02-06T20:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.37,
      "p2": 2.94
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6455,
    "prob_p2": 0.3545,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6455,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 14.64,
      "utr_ranking": 142,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
      "wr_surface_wins": 31,
      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 143,
      "utr_singles": 14.39,
      "utr_ranking": 206,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.64,
      "ranking": 142,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.39,
      "ranking": 206,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
    "utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.25,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6823529411764706,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "points_diff": 267,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.22222222222222,
    "utr_advantage": 1.7223561832586978,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 55,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5201933737695908,
    "rank_advantage": 58,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 5.169082125603872,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.799999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 46,
    "p2_surface_matches": 45,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.284685990338168,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.847342995169082,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.500000000000007,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.973996511449684,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.880456784849484,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.6889222702099658,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.224489795918366,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0222222222222221,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.8760000000000048,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 5.169082125603872,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11591304347826092,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18022222222222228,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.775510204081634,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}