Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Andrea Pellegrino
Rosario, Argentina | Clay | Quarterfinals
07 Feb 2026, 00:00
07 Feb 2026, 00:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan …: 64,6%
Andrea …: 35,4%
¿Por qué Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
UTR 14,64 vs 14,39
(+0,25)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juan … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,63 | 69,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,55 | 2,82 | 64,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Juan …: -0,1%
Andrea …: +0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
14,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#142
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
31/46 = 67,4%
Andrea Pellegrino
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#206
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
28/45 = 62,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6824 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5202 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 267,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,1691 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7755 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0222 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67,3913 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,2245 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3478 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,2847 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8473 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,8760 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6875 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9740 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,8805 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,6889 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1159 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1802 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 5,1691 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7812 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7518 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7224 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25427
API ID
15440890
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rosario, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25427,
"api_id": 15440890,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"player2": "Andrea Pellegrino",
"tournament": "Rosario, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-02-06T20:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.37,
"p2": 2.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6455,
"prob_p2": 0.3545,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6455,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 14.64,
"utr_ranking": 142,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 67.3913043478261,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 143,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 206,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.64,
"ranking": 142,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.39,
"ranking": 206,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7811764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_diff": 0.25,
"rank_ratio": 1.6823529411764706,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"points_diff": 267,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.3913043478261,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.22222222222222,
"utr_advantage": 1.7223561832586978,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 55,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5201933737695908,
"rank_advantage": 58,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6875,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.169082125603872,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 45,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.284685990338168,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.065217391304348,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.847342995169082,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.500000000000007,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.34782608695652173,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.973996511449684,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.880456784849484,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.6889222702099658,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.224489795918366,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0222222222222221,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.8760000000000048,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 5.169082125603872,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11591304347826092,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18022222222222228,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.775510204081634,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}