Yosuke Watanuki vs Sebastian Ofner
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 09:00
06 Feb 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke …: 77,9%
Sebastian …: 22,1%
¿Por qué Yosuke Watanuki?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,86
(-0,45)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yosuke … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,86 | 1,95 | 53,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,28 | 4,53 | 77,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yosuke …: +31,6%
Sebastian …: -31,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking
#135
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -31,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8133 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2067 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -35,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 47,3684 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,8638 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,3684 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0526 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,7037 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 18,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,0368 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,2700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 24,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 23,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,5816 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2019 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -9,7917 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0047 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5310 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8071 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,0748 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25428
API ID
15485433
Gamdom ID
662441
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25428,
"api_id": 15485433,
"gamdom_id": 662441,
"player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
"player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.86,
"p2": 1.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.92
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7794,
"prob_p2": 0.2206,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7794,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 166,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7541176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.4499999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.8132530120481928,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -115,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.699999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.368421052631575,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -3.074820635462926,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -35,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.20671300991811378,
"rank_advantage": -31,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 47.368421052631575,
"bp_converted_diff": 18.499999999999996,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.703684210526319,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.0368421052631582,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.1000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.5815898968277304,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.20191331860123,
"surface_rank_synergy": -9.79166889085802,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.269999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 24,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004684210526315791,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.531,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.863756613756608,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}