Yosuke Watanuki vs Sebastian Ofner
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke …: 77,9% Sebastian …: 22,1%
¿Por qué Yosuke Watanuki?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,86 (-0,45) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yosuke … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
Gamdom 1,86 1,95 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,53 77,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Yosuke …: +31,6% Sebastian …: -31,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #201
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking #135
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -31,0000
rank_ratio 0,8133
log_rank_ratio -0,2067
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -115,0000
best_rank_diff -35,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 47,3684
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,8638
surface_matches_ratio 7,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,3684
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1111
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0526
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,7037
first_serve_won_diff -4,1000
second_serve_won_diff 1,4000
bp_saved_diff -7,7000
bp_converted_diff 18,5000
aces_per_match_diff -3,0368
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,2700
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 24,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,5816
serve_consistency_p2 6,2019
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -9,7917
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0047
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5310
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4500
utr_p1 0,7541
utr_p2 0,8071
utr_advantage -3,0748
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25428
API ID 15485433
Gamdom ID 662441
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25428,
    "api_id": 15485433,
    "gamdom_id": 662441,
    "player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
    "player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.83,
      "p2": 1.92
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7794,
    "prob_p2": 0.2206,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7794,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 201,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 201,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7541176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.4499999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8132530120481928,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -115,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.074820635462926,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -35,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.20671300991811378,
    "rank_advantage": -31,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 47.368421052631575,
    "bp_converted_diff": 18.499999999999996,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.703684210526319,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0368421052631582,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.1000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.5815898968277304,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.20191331860123,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -9.79166889085802,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.3999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.269999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 24,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.004684210526315791,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.531,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.863756613756608,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}