Shintaro Mochizuki vs Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 10:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shintaro …: 62,1% Jurij …: 37,9%
¿Por qué Shintaro Mochizuki?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,36 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shintaro … Jurij … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 2,00 1,82 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,61 2,64 62,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Shintaro …: +12,1% Jurij …: -12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking #108
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR / = %
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking #170
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #215
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 62,0000
rank_ratio 1,5741
log_rank_ratio 0,4537
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 201,0000
best_rank_diff -5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,2883
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,3369
surface_matches_ratio 1,6522
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,9048
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,5220
first_serve_won_diff -2,2000
second_serve_won_diff -3,1000
bp_saved_diff -1,8000
bp_converted_diff 0,9000
aces_per_match_diff -2,7460
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,6400
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7342
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 4,9550
serve_consistency_p2 5,5549
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 1,0381
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0696
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1707
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,7729
utr_p2 0,7482
utr_advantage 1,4518
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25429
API ID 15485435
Gamdom ID 662442
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25429,
    "api_id": 15485435,
    "gamdom_id": 662442,
    "player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
    "player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T06:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.82
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.95,
      "p2": 1.8
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6213,
    "prob_p2": 0.3787,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6213,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 108,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 170,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 215,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 215,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5740740740740742,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 201,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
    "utr_advantage": 1.4517801590044996,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.45366720992604215,
    "rank_advantage": 62,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.288329519450791,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.8999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.521990846681909,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7341772151898734,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.7459954233409607,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.1999999999999886,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.954976404219268,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.554905134843428,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 1.038140068480641,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.0999999999999943,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6521739130434783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.640000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.06957894736842096,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17069565217391314,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.33686067019401,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}