Shintaro Mochizuki vs Sebastian Ofner
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shintaro …: 77,3% Sebastian …: 22,7%
¿Por qué Shintaro Mochizuki?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,86 (-0,29) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shintaro … Sebastian … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,74 2,10 57,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,40 77,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Shintaro …: +27,3% Sebastian …: -27,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking #108
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #155
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR / = %
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking #135
UTR Rating 14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #102
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 10% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 27,0000
rank_ratio 1,2500
log_rank_ratio 0,2231
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 80,0000
best_rank_diff -55,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 63,1579
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,6257
surface_matches_ratio 7,6000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,9048
surface_wr_p2_stable 36,1111
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -23,4789
first_serve_won_diff -13,0000
second_serve_won_diff -6,0000
bp_saved_diff -3,8000
bp_converted_diff 25,6000
aces_per_match_diff -7,5895
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -20,7600
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7342
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,9550
serve_consistency_p2 6,2019
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,0933
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1046
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4730
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2900
utr_p1 0,7729
utr_p2 0,8071
utr_advantage -1,9708
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25430
API ID 15485436
Gamdom ID 662552
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status cancelled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25430,
    "api_id": 15485436,
    "gamdom_id": 662552,
    "player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
    "player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T07:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "cancelled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.69,
      "p2": 2.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7729,
    "prob_p2": 0.2271,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7729,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 108,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 155,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 135,
      "utr_singles": 14.86,
      "utr_ranking": 102,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 10.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 155,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.86,
      "ranking": 102,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
    "utr_diff": -0.28999999999999915,
    "rank_ratio": 1.25,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 80,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.8000000000000043,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -30.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9707781175671026,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -55,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.22314355131420976,
    "rank_advantage": 27,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 63.1578947368421,
    "bp_converted_diff": 25.599999999999998,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -23.478947368421046,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7341772151898734,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.589473684210526,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -13.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.954976404219268,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.20191331860123,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.093276925107984,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 7.6,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -20.76,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.104578947368421,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.473,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.625661375661373,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}