Shintaro Mochizuki vs Sebastian Ofner
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 11:30
07 Feb 2026, 11:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shintaro …: 77,3%
Sebastian …: 22,7%
¿Por qué Shintaro Mochizuki?
UTR 14,57 vs 14,86
(-0,29)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shintaro … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,74 | 2,10 | 57,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,29 | 4,40 | 77,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Shintaro …: +27,3%
Sebastian …: -27,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shintaro Mochizuki
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#155
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking
#135
UTR Rating
14,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#102
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
10% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2231 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 80,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 17,6257 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 7,6000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 36,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -23,4789 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -13,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 25,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,5895 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,7600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7342 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9550 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2019 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,0933 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1046 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4730 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8071 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9708 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25430
API ID
15485436
Gamdom ID
662552
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25430,
"api_id": 15485436,
"gamdom_id": 662552,
"player1": "Shintaro Mochizuki",
"player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T07:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.69,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7729,
"prob_p2": 0.2271,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7729,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 108,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 155,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 135,
"utr_singles": 14.86,
"utr_ranking": 102,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 10.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.57,
"ranking": 155,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.86,
"ranking": 102,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8070588235294117,
"utr_diff": -0.28999999999999915,
"rank_ratio": 1.25,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 80,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.8000000000000043,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -1.9707781175671026,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -55,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.22314355131420976,
"rank_advantage": 27,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 63.1578947368421,
"bp_converted_diff": 25.599999999999998,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -23.478947368421046,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7341772151898734,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.589473684210526,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -13.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.954976404219268,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.20191331860123,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.093276925107984,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 36.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 7.6,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.76,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.104578947368421,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.473,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.625661375661373,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}