Yosuke Watanuki vs Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 12:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jurij Rodionov
Yosuke …: 43,7% Jurij …: 56,3%
¿Por qué Jurij Rodionov?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,36 (+0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yosuke … Jurij … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,10 60,0%
Gamdom 1,75 2,09 57,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,29 1,78 43,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Yosuke …: -12,1% Jurij …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking #166
UTR Rating 14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #201
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking #170
UTR Rating 14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking #215
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4,0000
rank_ratio 1,0241
log_rank_ratio 0,0238
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 6,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,5011
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,2822
surface_matches_ratio 1,6522
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 47,3684
surface_wr_p2 60,8696
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,6190
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,2593
p1_surface_matches 38,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0526
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,2533
first_serve_won_diff 6,7000
second_serve_won_diff 4,3000
bp_saved_diff -5,7000
bp_converted_diff -6,2000
aces_per_match_diff 1,8066
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -4,1500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 25,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 3,5816
serve_consistency_p2 5,5549
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,3215
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0303
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1127
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0500
utr_p1 0,7541
utr_p2 0,7482
utr_advantage 0,3476
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25431
API ID 15485434
Gamdom ID 662555
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25431,
    "api_id": 15485434,
    "gamdom_id": 662555,
    "player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
    "player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T08:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.6666666666666665,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.09
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4369,
    "prob_p2": 0.5631,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5631,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 166,
      "utr_singles": 14.41,
      "utr_ranking": 201,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 170,
      "utr_singles": 14.36,
      "utr_ranking": 215,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.41,
      "ranking": 201,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.36,
      "ranking": 215,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7541176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0240963855421688,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 6,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.699999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 47.368421052631575,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
    "utr_advantage": 0.34758428919013357,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.023810648693718607,
    "rank_advantage": 4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.501144164759737,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.253272311212818,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.806636155606408,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.700000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.5815898968277304,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.554905134843428,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.321471000670343,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.300000000000004,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6521739130434783,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -4.149999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03031578947368424,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11269565217391309,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.282186948853614,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}