Yosuke Watanuki vs Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 12:15
07 Feb 2026, 12:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jurij Rodionov
Yosuke …: 43,7%
Jurij …: 56,3%
¿Por qué Jurij Rodionov?
UTR 14,41 vs 14,36
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yosuke … | Jurij … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,09 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,29 | 1,78 | 43,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yosuke …: -12,1%
Jurij …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking
#166
UTR Rating
14,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#201
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Jurij Rodionov
Ranking
#170
UTR Rating
14,36 Pro
UTR Ranking
#215
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0241 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0238 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 6,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,5011 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,2822 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6522 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 47,3684 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,6190 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,2593 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0526 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,2533 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8066 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 23,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,5816 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5549 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,3215 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0303 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1127 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7482 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3476 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25431
API ID
15485434
Gamdom ID
662555
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25431,
"api_id": 15485434,
"gamdom_id": 662555,
"player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
"player2": "Jurij Rodionov",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T08:15:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.09
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.73,
"p2": 2.05
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4369,
"prob_p2": 0.5631,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5631,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 166,
"utr_singles": 14.41,
"utr_ranking": 201,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 170,
"utr_singles": 14.36,
"utr_ranking": 215,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.41,
"ranking": 201,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.36,
"ranking": 215,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7541176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.748235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 1.0240963855421688,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": 6,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.699999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 3.552713678800501e-15,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 47.368421052631575,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.86956521739131,
"utr_advantage": 0.34758428919013357,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.023810648693718607,
"rank_advantage": 4,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.501144164759737,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.253272311212818,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.806636155606408,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.700000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.5815898968277304,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.554905134843428,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.321471000670343,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.25925925925925,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.300000000000004,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6521739130434783,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.149999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03031578947368424,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11269565217391309,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.282186948853614,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}