Alexander Bublik vs Hugo Nys
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 14:00
06 Feb 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 88,3%
Hugo …: 11,7%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Hugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,03 | 15,00 | 97,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,02 | 14,00 | 98,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,13 | 8,53 | 88,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -5,3%
Hugo …: +5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Hugo Nys
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 490,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 50,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,9120 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3235,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 490,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,9872 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 22,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 82,0236 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 75,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 56,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 70,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 41,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 13,6818 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 38,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9655 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,2088 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 213,3831 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4445 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0100 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 272,7273 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25435
API ID
15489115
Gamdom ID
662411
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25435,
"api_id": 15489115,
"gamdom_id": 662411,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Hugo Nys",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0303030303030303,
"p2": 15.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 14.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 11.56
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8828,
"prob_p2": 0.1172,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8828,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.9,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.9,
"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 50.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 3235,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 70.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 490,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.912023005428146,
"rank_advantage": 490,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 54.54545454545454,
"bp_converted_diff": 41.2,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 82.02363636363636,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 13.681818181818182,
"combined_confidence": 0.5166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 5,
"first_serve_won_diff": 75.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.208768781859145,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 213.3830730233534,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 56.2,
"surface_matches_ratio": 22.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 38.95000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 272.7272727272727,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4445454545454546,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.010000000000000009,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9871794871794877,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}