Alexander Bublik vs Hugo Nys
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 14:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 88,3% Hugo …: 11,7%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Hugo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,03 15,00 97,1%
Gamdom 1,02 14,00 98,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,13 8,53 88,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -5,3% Hugo …: +5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Hugo Nys
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 490,0000
rank_ratio 50,0000
log_rank_ratio 3,9120
rank_tier_advantage 5,0000
points_diff 3235,0000
best_rank_diff 490,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 54,5455
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,9872
surface_matches_ratio 22,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,8462
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,5167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 82,0236
first_serve_won_diff 75,6000
second_serve_won_diff 56,2000
bp_saved_diff 70,9000
bp_converted_diff 41,2000
aces_per_match_diff 13,6818
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 38,9500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 12,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9655
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4615
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,2088
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 213,3831
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4445
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0100
elite_surface_amplifier 272,7273
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9294
utr_p2 0,9294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25435
API ID 15489115
Gamdom ID 662411
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25435,
    "api_id": 15489115,
    "gamdom_id": 662411,
    "player1": "Alexander Bublik",
    "player2": "Hugo Nys",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0303030303030303,
      "p2": 15.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 14.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 11.56
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8828,
    "prob_p2": 0.1172,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8828,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 15.9,
      "utr_ranking": 6,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.9,
      "ranking": 6,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.9294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 50.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 3235,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 70.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 490,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 3.912023005428146,
    "rank_advantage": 490,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 54.54545454545454,
    "bp_converted_diff": 41.2,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 82.02363636363636,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 13.681818181818182,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 5,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 75.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.208768781859145,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 213.3830730233534,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 56.2,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 22.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 38.95000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 272.7272727272727,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.4445454545454546,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.010000000000000009,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.9871794871794877,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}