Alexander Shevchenko vs Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 15:25
06 Feb 2026, 15:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Alexander …: 14,1%
Valentin …: 85,9%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 14,77 vs 15,51
(-0,74)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,40 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 3,30 | 1,34 | 30,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,07 | 1,16 | 14,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -19,6%
Valentin …: +19,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#123
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -60,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3103 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1701 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -921,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -27,7778 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17,7053 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 40,9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,5161 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -12,1581 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,0741 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 13,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3818 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,0726 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7091 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 32,5020 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0511 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1067 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8835 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,8877 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25436
API ID
15489105
Gamdom ID
662418
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25436,
"api_id": 15489105,
"gamdom_id": 662418,
"player1": "Alexander Shevchenko",
"player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T11:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.3,
"p2": 1.34
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.18,
"p2": 1.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1415,
"prob_p2": 0.8585,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8585,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 14.77,
"utr_ranking": 123,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.51,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.77,
"ranking": 123,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.51,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
"utr_diff": -0.7400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.3103448275862069,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -921,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 38.88888888888889,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": -4.88771466314399,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1700712526502546,
"rank_advantage": -60,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -27.777777777777764,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 18,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": -12.158148148148143,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.38181818181818183,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.074074074074074,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.900000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.072610375035266,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.709076816310122,
"surface_rank_synergy": 32.50197924028483,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.51612903225806,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.199999999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.100000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.051111111111110996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10666666666666647,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.705278592375365,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}