Alexander Shevchenko vs Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 15:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Valentin Vacherot
Alexander …: 14,1% Valentin …: 85,9%
¿Por qué Valentin Vacherot?
UTR 14,77 vs 15,51 (-0,74) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 3,30 1,34 30,3%
IA Fair Odds 7,07 1,16 14,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -19,6% Valentin …: +19,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Shevchenko
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 14,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #123
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #20
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -60,0000
rank_ratio 0,3103
log_rank_ratio -1,1701
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -921,0000
best_rank_diff -18,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -27,7778
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -17,7053
surface_matches_ratio 0,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 38,8889
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,9091
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,5161
p1_surface_matches 18,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2222
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,1581
first_serve_won_diff -4,9000
second_serve_won_diff -5,2000
bp_saved_diff -5,0000
bp_converted_diff -7,2000
aces_per_match_diff -4,0741
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,1000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 16,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3818
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 12,0726
serve_consistency_p2 7,7091
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 32,5020
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0511
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1067
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7400
utr_p1 0,7965
utr_p2 0,8835
utr_advantage -4,8877
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25436
API ID 15489105
Gamdom ID 662418
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25436,
    "api_id": 15489105,
    "gamdom_id": 662418,
    "player1": "Alexander Shevchenko",
    "player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T11:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.3,
      "p2": 1.34
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.18,
      "p2": 1.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1415,
    "prob_p2": 0.8585,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8585,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 14.77,
      "utr_ranking": 123,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.51,
      "utr_ranking": 20,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.77,
      "ranking": 123,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.51,
      "ranking": 20,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.796470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.7400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3103448275862069,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": -921,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 38.88888888888889,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": -4.88771466314399,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -18,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1700712526502546,
    "rank_advantage": -60,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -27.777777777777764,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 18,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.158148148148143,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.38181818181818183,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.074074074074074,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.900000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.072610375035266,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.709076816310122,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 32.50197924028483,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.909090909090914,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.51612903225806,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.199999999999996,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6666666666666666,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.100000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.051111111111110996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10666666666666647,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.705278592375365,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}