Yunchaokete Bu vs Nuno Borges
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 10:30
07 Feb 2026, 10:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nuno Borges
Yunchaokete …: 33,6%
Nuno …: 66,4%
¿Por qué Nuno Borges?
UTR 14,88 vs 15,24
(-0,36)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yunchaokete … | Nuno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,25 | 1,33 | 30,8% |
| Gamdom | 3,25 | 1,34 | 30,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,98 | 1,51 | 33,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yunchaokete …: +4,5%
Nuno …: -4,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yunchaokete Bu
Ranking
#139
UTR Rating
14,88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#101
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#45
UTR Rating
15,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#55
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -94,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3237 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1278 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -621,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -34,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,4594 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,6638 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9355 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,8387 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,4242 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54,2857 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,8581 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1491 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -28,2760 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 15,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2821 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7193 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6923 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9554 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,5471 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,1797 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0078 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0456 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8518 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,3904 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25439
API ID
15489109
Gamdom ID
662548
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25439,
"api_id": 15489109,
"gamdom_id": 662548,
"player1": "Yunchaokete Bu",
"player2": "Nuno Borges",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T06:30:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.3333333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.34
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.18,
"p2": 1.33
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3361,
"prob_p2": 0.6639,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6639,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 139,
"utr_singles": 14.88,
"utr_ranking": 101,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 45,
"utr_singles": 15.24,
"utr_ranking": 55,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.88,
"ranking": 101,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.24,
"ranking": 55,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8094117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.851764705882353,
"utr_diff": -0.35999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 0.3237410071942446,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": -621,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -21.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.83870967741935,
"utr_advantage": -2.3904382470119483,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -34,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.127811443360372,
"rank_advantage": -94,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.08333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6923076923076923,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.459399332591765,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.858109010011127,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2820512820512822,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7192982456140351,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1490545050055623,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.4000000000000057,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1724137931034483,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.955375279428678,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.547080259678565,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.179664588053948,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.42424242424242,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9354838709677419,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -28.275999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.007793103448275829,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04561290322580647,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.663780663780665,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}