Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 61,8% Valentin …: 38,2%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,90 vs 15,51 (+0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Valentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,52 2,55 65,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,62 2,62 61,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -0,7% Valentin …: +0,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR / = %
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,51 Pro
UTR Ranking #20
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 17,0000
rank_ratio 2,7000
log_rank_ratio 0,9933
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1624,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -12,1212
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,7138
surface_matches_ratio 0,8148
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,5455
surface_wr_p2 66,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,8462
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,5161
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0909
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,7444
first_serve_won_diff 2,9000
second_serve_won_diff -2,7000
bp_saved_diff 5,5000
bp_converted_diff 4,0000
aces_per_match_diff 5,0522
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,5200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9655
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4615
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 12,2088
serve_consistency_p2 7,7091
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,0394
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0285
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1837
elite_surface_amplifier -24,2424
UTR
utr_diff 0,3900
utr_p1 0,9294
utr_p2 0,8835
utr_advantage 2,4833
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25441
API ID 15489111
Gamdom ID 662554
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25441,
    "api_id": 15489111,
    "gamdom_id": 662554,
    "player1": "Alexander Bublik",
    "player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.55
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6184,
    "prob_p2": 0.3816,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6184,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 15.9,
      "utr_ranking": 6,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.51,
      "utr_ranking": 20,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.9,
      "ranking": 6,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.51,
      "ranking": 20,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 2.7,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 1624,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
    "surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
    "utr_advantage": 2.483285577841455,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9932517730102834,
    "rank_advantage": 17,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -12.121212121212118,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.744377104377108,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 5.052188552188552,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.208768781859145,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.709076816310122,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.039415430427674,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.51612903225806,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6999999999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8148148148148148,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.52000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -24.242424242424235,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0284545454545454,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18366666666666653,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.713813068651778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}