Alexander Bublik vs Valentin Vacherot
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 61,8%
Valentin …: 38,2%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
UTR 15,90 vs 15,51
(+0,39)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,52 | 2,55 | 65,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,62 | 2,62 | 61,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -0,7%
Valentin …: +0,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Valentin Vacherot
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
15,51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,7000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9933 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1624,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,1212 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,7138 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8148 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,5161 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,7444 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0522 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,5200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9655 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,2088 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7091 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -12,0394 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0285 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1837 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -24,2424 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8835 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4833 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25441
API ID
15489111
Gamdom ID
662554
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25441,
"api_id": 15489111,
"gamdom_id": 662554,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Valentin Vacherot",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.45
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6184,
"prob_p2": 0.3816,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6184,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.9,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 15.51,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.9,
"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.51,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.8835294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"rank_ratio": 2.7,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"points_diff": 1624,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 2.483285577841455,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9932517730102834,
"rank_advantage": 17,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.121212121212118,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.744377104377108,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.052188552188552,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.208768781859145,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.709076816310122,
"surface_rank_synergy": -12.039415430427674,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.51612903225806,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.6999999999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8148148148148148,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.52000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -24.242424242424235,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0284545454545454,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18366666666666653,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.713813068651778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}