Ofek Shimanov vs Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 15:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vilius Gaubas
Ofek …: 21,5% Vilius …: 78,5%
¿Por qué Vilius Gaubas?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ofek … Vilius … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 11,00 1,05 9,1%
Gamdom 12,00 1,04 8,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,66 1,27 21,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Ofek …: +12,8% Vilius …: -12,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ofek Shimanov
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR / = %
Vilius Gaubas
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 14,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -374,0000
rank_ratio 0,2520
log_rank_ratio -1,3783
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -495,0000
best_rank_diff -374,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,8676
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,4483
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -50,8567
first_serve_won_diff -61,5000
second_serve_won_diff -54,8000
bp_saved_diff -60,0000
bp_converted_diff -50,0000
aces_per_match_diff -1,8333
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,0900
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 8,3899
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 45,9442
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1260
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5407
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7612
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25446
API ID 15489913
Gamdom ID 662443
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25446,
    "api_id": 15489913,
    "gamdom_id": 662443,
    "player1": "Ofek Shimanov",
    "player2": "Vilius Gaubas",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T11:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 11.0,
      "p2": 1.05
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 12.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 10.09,
      "p2": 1.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2147,
    "prob_p2": 0.7853,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7853,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 14.47,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.47,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.252,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -495,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -60.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -374,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3783261914707137,
    "rank_advantage": -374,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -50.85666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.8333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -61.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.389874561314173,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 45.944206382357116,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.44827586206897,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.79999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.090000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.126,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5406666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8675862068965509,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}