Matej Dodig vs Elmer Moller
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matej Dodig
Matej …: 51,2% Elmer …: 48,8%
¿Por qué Matej Dodig?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matej … Elmer … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,85 1,96 54,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,95 2,05 51,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Matej …: -2,4% Elmer …: +2,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matej Dodig
Ranking #235
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #328
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (9p)
WR / = %
Elmer Moller
Ranking #120
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -115,0000
rank_ratio 0,5106
log_rank_ratio -0,6721
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -265,0000
best_rank_diff -129,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,0654
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,0638
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,2245
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -57,1333
first_serve_won_diff -66,1000
second_serve_won_diff -52,5000
bp_saved_diff -54,0000
bp_converted_diff -37,0000
aces_per_match_diff -4,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -22,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 25,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3429
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8526
serve_consistency_p2 3,6071
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3850
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,6150
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7153
utr_p2 0,7153
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25450
API ID 15490020
Gamdom ID 662451
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25450,
    "api_id": 15490020,
    "gamdom_id": 662451,
    "player1": "Matej Dodig",
    "player2": "Elmer Moller",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.85,
      "p2": 1.96
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 1.91
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5123,
    "prob_p2": 0.4877,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5123,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 235,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 328,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 120,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 328,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7152941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.7152941176470589,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5106382978723404,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": -265,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -54.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -29.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -129,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.672093771362113,
    "rank_advantage": -115,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -37.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -57.13333333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.34285714285714286,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.166666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -66.1,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.852565169424098,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.60706622264157,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.22448979591837,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -52.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -22.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.385,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.615,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.065375597047327,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}