Tallon Griekspoor vs Titouan Droguet
Montpellier | Hard | Quarterfinals
06 Feb 2026, 23:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tallon Griekspoor
Tallon …: 70,0% Titouan …: 30,0%
¿Por qué Tallon Griekspoor?
UTR 15,15 vs 14,53 (+0,62) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tallon … Titouan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
Gamdom 1,53 2,50 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,43 3,34 70,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tallon …: +6,4% Titouan …: -6,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tallon Griekspoor
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #65
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Titouan Droguet
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 14,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #174
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 17/30 = 56,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 121,0000
rank_ratio 5,1724
log_rank_ratio 1,6433
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1162,0000
best_rank_diff 109,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,2796
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,3109
surface_matches_ratio 1,0333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,3871
surface_wr_p2 56,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,5714
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0323
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5995
first_serve_won_diff -1,4763
second_serve_won_diff 0,7241
bp_saved_diff 9,4563
bp_converted_diff -3,7415
aces_per_match_diff 1,0602
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -34,7190
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7363
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6522
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 15,7438
serve_consistency_p2 5,9516
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -13,6061
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1371
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1877
elite_surface_amplifier -16,5591
UTR
utr_diff 0,6200
utr_p1 0,8412
utr_p2 0,7682
utr_advantage 4,1779
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25453
API ID 15441197
Gamdom ID 638731
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25453,
    "api_id": 15441197,
    "gamdom_id": 638731,
    "player1": "Tallon Griekspoor",
    "player2": "Titouan Droguet",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-02-06T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.45
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7004,
    "prob_p2": 0.2996,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7004,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.15,
      "utr_ranking": 65,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 14.53,
      "utr_ranking": 174,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.15,
      "ranking": 65,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.53,
      "ranking": 174,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8411764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.768235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.620000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 5.172413793103448,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1162,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.45634408602151,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -57.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.38709677419355,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 4.177897574123996,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 109,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.6433394641097818,
    "rank_advantage": 121,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6521739130434783,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.279569892473113,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.741505376344083,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5994838709677452,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7362637362637363,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0602150537634412,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.4763440860214985,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.03225806451612903,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.74384593194412,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.951607527911445,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -13.606143950156248,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.7240860215053786,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -34.718999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -16.559139784946225,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1371290322580645,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18766666666666665,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.310924369747902,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}