Jerome Kym vs Moez Echargui
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moez Echargui
Jerome …: 35,2% Moez …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Moez Echargui?
UTR 14,39 vs 14,59 (-0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jerome … Moez … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,50 2,60 66,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,84 1,54 35,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Jerome …: -27,3% Moez …: +27,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Kym
Ranking #192
UTR Rating 14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #204
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Moez Echargui
Ranking #142
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #152
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -50,0000
rank_ratio 0,7396
log_rank_ratio -0,3017
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -119,0000
best_rank_diff 11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,1531
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 77,7778
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,6624
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,7273
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,5100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 23,4544
first_serve_won_diff 7,7000
second_serve_won_diff -2,8000
bp_saved_diff -5,0000
bp_converted_diff -12,2000
aces_per_match_diff 10,2222
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,6810
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 25,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9448
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 3,1951
serve_consistency_p2 7,7014
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,3519
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2167
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2278
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2000
utr_p1 0,7518
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage -1,3803
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25457
API ID 15491092
Gamdom ID 663839
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25457,
    "api_id": 15491092,
    "gamdom_id": 663839,
    "player1": "Jerome Kym",
    "player2": "Moez Echargui",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T12:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3516,
    "prob_p2": 0.6484,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6484,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 192,
      "utr_singles": 14.39,
      "utr_ranking": 204,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 152,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.39,
      "ranking": 204,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 152,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.751764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.7395833333333334,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -119,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 77.77777777777779,
    "utr_advantage": -1.3802622498274624,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 11,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.30166831442652076,
    "rank_advantage": -50,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.111111111111128,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.200000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 23.454444444444434,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9448275862068966,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 10.222222222222221,
    "combined_confidence": 0.51,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.699999999999989,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.195105031796669,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.7014336677075255,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.35187016029468,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.662393162393165,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.8000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.681000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21666666666666656,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22777777777777786,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.15308857808858,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}