Jerome Kym vs Moez Echargui
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 16:30
06 Feb 2026, 16:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moez Echargui
Jerome …: 35,2%
Moez …: 64,8%
¿Por qué Moez Echargui?
UTR 14,39 vs 14,59
(-0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jerome … | Moez … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,50 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,50 | 2,60 | 66,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,84 | 1,54 | 35,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jerome …: -27,3%
Moez …: +27,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jerome Kym
Ranking
#192
UTR Rating
14,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#204
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Moez Echargui
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#152
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -50,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7396 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3017 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -119,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 11,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,1531 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,6624 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,7273 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 23,4544 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 10,2222 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,6810 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 23,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9448 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,1951 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7014 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,3519 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2167 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2278 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7518 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,3803 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25457
API ID
15491092
Gamdom ID
663839
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25457,
"api_id": 15491092,
"gamdom_id": 663839,
"player1": "Jerome Kym",
"player2": "Moez Echargui",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.48,
"p2": 2.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3516,
"prob_p2": 0.6484,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6484,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 192,
"utr_singles": 14.39,
"utr_ranking": 204,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 152,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.39,
"ranking": 204,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 152,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.751764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.1999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.7395833333333334,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -119,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.77777777777779,
"utr_advantage": -1.3802622498274624,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 11,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.30166831442652076,
"rank_advantage": -50,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.111111111111128,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.200000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 23.454444444444434,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9448275862068966,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 10.222222222222221,
"combined_confidence": 0.51,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.699999999999989,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.195105031796669,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.7014336677075255,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.35187016029468,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.662393162393165,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.8000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.681000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21666666666666656,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22777777777777786,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.15308857808858,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}