Amit Vales vs Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vilius Gaubas
Amit …: 45,0% Vilius …: 55,0%
¿Por qué Vilius Gaubas?
UTR 13,22 vs 14,47 (-1,25) — Ligera ventaja
Amit …
W29-L25
54% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W2
Vilius …
Sin datos
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Amit … Vilius … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 8,00 1,08 12,5%
Gamdom 8,60 1,07 11,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,22 1,82 45,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Amit …: +33,1% Vilius …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Amit Vales
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #896
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR / = %
Vilius Gaubas
Ranking #126
UTR Rating 14,47 Pro
UTR Ranking #179
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Amit Vales
Record 2025 29W - 25L (54%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
W W L L W
Vilius Gaubas
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -374,0000
rank_ratio 0,2520
log_rank_ratio -1,3783
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -495,0000
best_rank_diff -374,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,8095
surface_matches_ratio 0,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,4483
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,2867
first_serve_won_diff 1,0000
second_serve_won_diff -10,4000
bp_saved_diff -10,0000
bp_converted_diff -50,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,1667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 4,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 2,9100
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 187,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 0,0000
serve_consistency_p2 8,3899
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -22,9721
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3740
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5407
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2500
utr_p1 0,6141
utr_p2 0,7612
utr_advantage -9,0285
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25459
API ID 15489910
Gamdom ID 662557
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25459,
    "api_id": 15489910,
    "gamdom_id": 662557,
    "player1": "Amit Vales",
    "player2": "Vilius Gaubas",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T10:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 8.0,
      "p2": 1.0833333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.6,
      "p2": 1.07
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 7.96,
      "p2": 1.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.45,
    "prob_p2": 0.55,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.55,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.22,
      "utr_ranking": 896,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.70370370370371,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.25,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Karl Friberg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Jiri Cizek"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.27,
          "opponent_name": "Fausto Tabacco"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.75,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Preda"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.58,
          "opponent_name": "Pietro Orlando Fellin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:17.750666+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 126,
      "utr_singles": 14.47,
      "utr_ranking": 179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.22,
      "ranking": 896,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.47,
      "ranking": 179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6141176470588237,
    "utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
    "utr_diff": -1.25,
    "rank_ratio": 0.252,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -495,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 4.857142857142861,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -9.028530155290717,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -374,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.3783261914707137,
    "rank_advantage": -374,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.2866666666666617,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.16666666666666674,
    "combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.389874561314173,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -22.97210319117857,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.44827586206897,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.399999999999991,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.9099999999999966,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 187,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.374,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5406666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.809501915708814,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}