Amit Vales vs Vilius Gaubas
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vilius Gaubas
Amit …: 45,0%
Vilius …: 55,0%
¿Por qué Vilius Gaubas?
UTR 13,22 vs 14,47
(-1,25)
— Ligera ventaja
Amit …
W29-L25
54% WR
vs UTR 13,3
W2
Vilius …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (35%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Amit … | Vilius … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 8,00 | 1,08 | 12,5% |
| Gamdom | 8,60 | 1,07 | 11,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,22 | 1,82 | 45,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Amit …: +33,1%
Vilius …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Amit Vales
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,22 Pro
UTR Ranking
#896
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR
/ = %
Vilius Gaubas
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
14,47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#179
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Amit Vales
Record 2025
29W - 25L (54%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Vilius Gaubas
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -374,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2520 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3783 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -495,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -374,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,8095 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,4483 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3533 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,2867 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -50,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 4,8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,9100 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 187,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,3899 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -22,9721 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3740 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5407 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6141 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7612 | |
| utr_advantage | -9,0285 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25459
API ID
15489910
Gamdom ID
662557
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25459,
"api_id": 15489910,
"gamdom_id": 662557,
"player1": "Amit Vales",
"player2": "Vilius Gaubas",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 8.0,
"p2": 1.0833333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 8.6,
"p2": 1.07
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 7.96,
"p2": 1.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.45,
"prob_p2": 0.55,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.55,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.22,
"utr_ranking": 896,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.70370370370371,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.25,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Karl Friberg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Jiri Cizek"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.27,
"opponent_name": "Fausto Tabacco"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.75,
"opponent_name": "Luca Preda"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.58,
"opponent_name": "Pietro Orlando Fellin"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:17.750666+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 14.47,
"utr_ranking": 179,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.22,
"ranking": 896,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.47,
"ranking": 179,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6141176470588237,
"utr_p2": 0.7611764705882353,
"utr_diff": -1.25,
"rank_ratio": 0.252,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -495,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 4.857142857142861,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -9.028530155290717,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -374,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3783261914707137,
"rank_advantage": -374,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.2866666666666617,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.16666666666666674,
"combined_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.389874561314173,
"surface_rank_synergy": -22.97210319117857,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.44827586206897,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.399999999999991,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.9099999999999966,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 187,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.374,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5406666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.809501915708814,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}