Bor Artnak vs Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 15:10
07 Feb 2026, 15:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mert Alkaya
Bor …: 46,9%
Mert …: 53,1%
¿Por qué Mert Alkaya?
UTR 13,63 vs 14,02
(-0,39)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Bor … | Mert … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,36 | 1,60 | 42,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,13 | 1,88 | 46,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Bor Artnak
Ranking
#467
UTR Rating
13,63 General
UTR Ranking
#666
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR
/ = %
Mert Alkaya
Ranking
#376
UTR Rating
14,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#373
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -91,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8051 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2167 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -32,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,5455 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,5152 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3600 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -16,9043 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -12,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,3571 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_diff | 7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,5539 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,5481 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1624 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0910 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6624 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7082 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8210 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25460
API ID
15490769
Gamdom ID
662603
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25460,
"api_id": 15490769,
"gamdom_id": 662603,
"player1": "Bor Artnak",
"player2": "Mert Alkaya",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T11:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.36,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.34,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4689,
"prob_p2": 0.5311,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5311,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 467,
"utr_singles": 13.63,
"utr_ranking": 666,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 376,
"utr_singles": 14.02,
"utr_ranking": 373,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.63,
"ranking": 666,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.02,
"ranking": 373,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6623529411764707,
"utr_p2": 0.708235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.3899999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 0.8051391862955032,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
"points_diff": -32,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.5999999999999943,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -2.820976491862559,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.21674011427900283,
"rank_advantage": -91,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.142857142857139,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -16.904285714285713,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.357142857142858,
"combined_confidence": 0.36,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.553925798101812,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.548143673421448,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.51515151515151,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -12.299999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16242857142857137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.09099999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.5454545454545431,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}