Jan-Lennard Struff vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Jan-Lennard …: 89,1% Juan …: 10,9%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
UTR 15,05 vs 14,24 (+0,81) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,08 8,20 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,12 9,17 89,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Jan-Lennard …: +2,5% Juan …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #84
UTR Rating 15,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking #284
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #265
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 200,0000
rank_ratio 3,3810
log_rank_ratio 1,2182
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 522,0000
best_rank_diff 39,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 41,1765
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,8713
surface_matches_ratio 17,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,1765
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,4737
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1765
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,4400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 16,6606
first_serve_won_diff 14,5000
second_serve_won_diff -10,2000
bp_saved_diff 2,0000
bp_converted_diff -29,5000
aces_per_match_diff 6,2353
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -23,0690
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 17,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 21,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0606
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,3785
serve_consistency_p2 6,8179
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 50,1594
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2882
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3000
elite_surface_amplifier 82,3529
UTR
utr_diff 0,8100
utr_p1 0,8294
utr_p2 0,7341
utr_advantage 5,5309
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25478
API ID 15491280
Gamdom ID 662568
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25478,
    "api_id": 15491280,
    "gamdom_id": 662568,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 8.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 7.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8909,
    "prob_p2": 0.1091,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8909,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": 15.05,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 284,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 265,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.05,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 265,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.8100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 3.380952380952381,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 522,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.17647058823529,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.530897917377948,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 39,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2181574393178924,
    "rank_advantage": 200,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 41.17647058823529,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 16.660588235294114,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.235294117647058,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43999999999999995,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 14.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.17647058823529413,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.378500814160542,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.817861391832294,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 50.15942397191321,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.473684210526315,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -23.069000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 82.35294117647058,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28823529411764703,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30000000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.871278195488722,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}