Jan-Lennard Struff vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Davis Cup | |
06 Feb 2026, 21:00
06 Feb 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Jan-Lennard …: 89,1%
Juan …: 10,9%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
UTR 15,05 vs 14,24
(+0,81)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan-Lennard … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 7,00 | 92,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 8,20 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,12 | 9,17 | 89,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jan-Lennard …: +2,5%
Juan …: -2,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking
#84
UTR Rating
15,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking
#284
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#265
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 200,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3810 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2182 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 522,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 39,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,8713 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 17,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,4737 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1765 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 16,6606 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 14,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -29,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 6,2353 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,0690 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0606 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,3785 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8179 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 50,1594 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2882 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 82,3529 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,5309 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25478
API ID
15491280
Gamdom ID
662568
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25478,
"api_id": 15491280,
"gamdom_id": 662568,
"player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
"player2": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 7.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 8.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 7.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8909,
"prob_p2": 0.1091,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8909,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": 15.05,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 284,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 265,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.05,
"ranking": 85,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 265,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.8100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 3.380952380952381,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 522,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.17647058823529,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.530897917377948,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 39,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2181574393178924,
"rank_advantage": 200,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 41.17647058823529,
"bp_converted_diff": -29.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 16.660588235294114,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 6.235294117647058,
"combined_confidence": 0.43999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 14.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.17647058823529413,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.378500814160542,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.817861391832294,
"surface_rank_synergy": 50.15942397191321,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.473684210526315,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.200000000000003,
"surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.069000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 82.35294117647058,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28823529411764703,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30000000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.871278195488722,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}