Tomás Barrios Vera vs Dusan Lajovic
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 01:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomás Barrios Vera
Tomás …: 50,3% Dusan …: 49,7%
¿Por qué Tomás Barrios Vera?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomás … Dusan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,77 2,06 56,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,99 2,01 50,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomás …: -3,4% Dusan …: +3,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomás Barrios Vera
Ranking #112
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Dusan Lajovic
Ranking #123
UTR Rating 14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #203
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 11,0000
rank_ratio 1,0982
log_rank_ratio 0,0937
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 43,0000
best_rank_diff -70,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2,8571
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,7558
surface_matches_ratio 0,4667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,5138
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,1053
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,4467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,3505
first_serve_won_diff 1,0000
second_serve_won_diff 3,8000
bp_saved_diff 2,8000
bp_converted_diff 2,3000
aces_per_match_diff -1,4952
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2090
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 23,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 8,4061
serve_consistency_p2 8,3231
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,2677
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0824
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0890
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7576
utr_p2 0,7576
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25479
API ID 15491982
Gamdom ID 664117
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25479,
    "api_id": 15491982,
    "gamdom_id": 664117,
    "player1": "Tom\u00e1s Barrios Vera",
    "player2": "Dusan Lajovic",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T21:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.77,
      "p2": 2.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.73,
      "p2": 2.05
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.503,
    "prob_p2": 0.497,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.503,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 112,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 123,
      "utr_singles": 14.44,
      "utr_ranking": 203,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.44,
      "ranking": 203,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0982142857142858,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 43,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.799999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -70,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.09368548407732304,
    "rank_advantage": 11,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 2.857142857142854,
    "bp_converted_diff": 2.299999999999997,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.3504761904761935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.6666666666666667,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4952380952380948,
    "combined_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.406103751982204,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.323142031548631,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.2676728116494941,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.51383399209486,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.799999999999997,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.208999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 23,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08242857142857146,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.08899999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.7558283059427233,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}