Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi
Montpellier | Hard | Quarterfinals
06 Feb 2026, 20:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Martin …: 50,0% Luca …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martin … Luca … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,80 2,03 55,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,00 2,00 50,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Martin …: -6,8% Luca …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking #160
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 15/23 = 65,2%
Luca Nardi
Ranking #106
UTR Rating 14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -54,0000
rank_ratio 0,6625
log_rank_ratio -0,4117
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -198,0000
best_rank_diff -93,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,5589
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,5062
surface_matches_ratio 0,5610
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,2174
surface_wr_p2 53,6585
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,9630
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 23,0000
p2_surface_matches 41,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3043
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 26,6395
first_serve_won_diff 8,3258
second_serve_won_diff 9,7895
bp_saved_diff 2,9823
bp_converted_diff -5,1413
aces_per_match_diff 9,7699
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,7000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,5625
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4842
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 3,4975
serve_consistency_p2 8,0597
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -4,7592
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2062
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0174
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,7729
utr_p2 0,7729
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25481
API ID 15441191
Gamdom ID 638730
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25481,
    "api_id": 15441191,
    "gamdom_id": 638730,
    "player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
    "player2": "Luca Nardi",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-02-06T16:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 2.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5,
    "prob_p2": 0.5,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 160,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 106,
      "utr_singles": 14.57,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 41,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.57,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.7729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6625,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": -198,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.982290562036063,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -93,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.4117347211217598,
    "rank_advantage": -54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.55885471898197,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.141251325556738,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 41,
    "serve_quality_diff": 26.639501590668075,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.769883351007424,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.325768822905616,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.497490131649293,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.0597206558993,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -4.759181824206978,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.789501590668081,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5609756097560976,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.6999999999999886,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20617391304347832,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01741463414634148,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.506172839506169,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}