Martin Damm Jr vs Luca Nardi
Montpellier | Hard | Quarterfinals
06 Feb 2026, 20:20
06 Feb 2026, 20:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Martin Damm Jr
Martin …: 50,0%
Luca …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Martin Damm Jr?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Martin … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,80 | 2,03 | 55,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 50,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Martin …: -6,8%
Luca …: +6,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martin Damm Jr
Ranking
#160
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
15/23 = 65,2%
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6625 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,4117 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -198,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -93,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 11,5589 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,5062 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5610 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,2174 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,6585 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3043 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 26,6395 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,3258 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,7895 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2,9823 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,1413 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,7699 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,7000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,5625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4842 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,4975 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,0597 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -4,7592 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2062 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0174 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25481
API ID
15441191
Gamdom ID
638730
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25481,
"api_id": 15441191,
"gamdom_id": 638730,
"player1": "Martin Damm Jr",
"player2": "Luca Nardi",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-02-06T16:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.03
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.76,
"p2": 2.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5,
"prob_p2": 0.5,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 160,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.21739130434783,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 106,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.57,
"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.7729411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.6625,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": -198,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.982290562036063,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.21739130434783,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.65853658536586,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -93,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4117347211217598,
"rank_advantage": -54,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 11.55885471898197,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.141251325556738,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 26.639501590668075,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.4842105263157895,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.769883351007424,
"combined_confidence": 0.8833333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.325768822905616,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30434782608695654,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.497490131649293,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.0597206558993,
"surface_rank_synergy": -4.759181824206978,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.96296296296296,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.789501590668081,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5609756097560976,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.6999999999999886,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20617391304347832,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01741463414634148,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.506172839506169,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}