Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Gabriel Ghetu
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 03:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Adolfo …: 79,0% Gabriel …: 21,0%
¿Por qué Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Adolfo … Gabriel … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 8,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,06 9,60 94,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,27 4,77 79,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Adolfo …: -9,0% Gabriel …: +9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking #104
UTR Rating 14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #113
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Gabriel Ghetu
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 396,0000
rank_ratio 4,8077
log_rank_ratio 1,5702
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 580,0000
best_rank_diff 396,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 25,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,2882
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 49,1176
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 51,2800
first_serve_won_diff 60,9000
second_serve_won_diff 51,1000
bp_saved_diff 53,3000
bp_converted_diff 37,0000
aces_per_match_diff 2,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14,9960
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 22,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,7040
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 39,2554
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,6460
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1040
elite_surface_amplifier 25,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8024
utr_p2 0,8024
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25486
API ID 15491537
Gamdom ID 663636
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25486,
    "api_id": 15491537,
    "gamdom_id": 663636,
    "player1": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
    "player2": "Gabriel Ghetu",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-06T23:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 9.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 7.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7903,
    "prob_p2": 0.2097,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7903,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 104,
      "utr_singles": 14.82,
      "utr_ranking": 113,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.82,
      "ranking": 113,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8023529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.8023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 4.8076923076923075,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 580,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 53.3,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 396,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.570217199280819,
    "rank_advantage": 396,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 37.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 51.28,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 60.9,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.70398456393512,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 39.25542998202047,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.11764705882353,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 14.99600000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.646,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10399999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2882352941176472,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}