Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Gabriel Ghetu
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 03:10
07 Feb 2026, 03:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Adolfo …: 79,0%
Gabriel …: 21,0%
¿Por qué Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Adolfo … | Gabriel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 8,00 | 92,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,06 | 9,60 | 94,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,27 | 4,77 | 79,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Adolfo …: -9,0%
Gabriel …: +9,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
14,82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#113
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Gabriel Ghetu
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 396,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,8077 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5702 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 580,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 396,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,2882 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 49,1176 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 51,2800 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 60,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 53,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 37,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,7500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 14,9960 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,7040 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 39,2554 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,6460 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1040 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 25,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8024 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8024 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25486
API ID
15491537
Gamdom ID
663636
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25486,
"api_id": 15491537,
"gamdom_id": 663636,
"player1": "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo",
"player2": "Gabriel Ghetu",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-06T23:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 9.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 7.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7903,
"prob_p2": 0.2097,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7903,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 104,
"utr_singles": 14.82,
"utr_ranking": 113,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.82,
"ranking": 113,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8023529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.8023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 4.8076923076923075,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 580,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 53.3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 396,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.570217199280819,
"rank_advantage": 396,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 37.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 51.28,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.75,
"combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 60.9,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.70398456393512,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 39.25542998202047,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.11764705882353,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.1,
"surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 14.99600000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 25.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 22,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10399999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.2882352941176472,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}