Liam Draxl vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 04:00
07 Feb 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 92,2%
Joao …: 7,8%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,27 vs 14,19
(+0,08)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Liam … | Joao … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,29 | 3,50 | 77,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,15 | 5,40 | 87,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,08 | 12,85 | 92,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Liam …: +19,1%
Joao …: -19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#146
UTR Rating
14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Ranking
#207
UTR Rating
14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#305
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4178 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3491 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 131,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 74,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,2162 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 15,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,1515 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2258 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,6284 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 9,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 48,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,2742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 48,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 39,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 25,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3045 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,5989 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,3972 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0519 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,4390 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 61,2903 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7282 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,5622 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25490
API ID
15492415
Gamdom ID
664099
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25490,
"api_id": 15492415,
"gamdom_id": 664099,
"player1": "Liam Draxl",
"player2": "Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2857142857142856,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 5.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.16,
"p2": 5.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9222,
"prob_p2": 0.0778,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9222,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 146,
"utr_singles": 14.27,
"utr_ranking": 258,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 207,
"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 305,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.27,
"ranking": 258,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.19,
"ranking": 305,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"rank_ratio": 1.417808219178082,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": 131,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 47.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.29032258064516,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.5621925509487005,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 74,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.34911217155703256,
"rank_advantage": 61,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 61.29032258064516,
"bp_converted_diff": 48.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.628387096774183,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.274193548387097,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999915,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.30445935136603,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.598904399043601,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.39719761156006,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.151515151515156,
"second_serve_won_diff": 9.600000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 15.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 39.480000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 61.29032258064516,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05190322580645168,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43900000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.2161616161616133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}