Liam Draxl vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 92,2% Joao …: 7,8%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,27 vs 14,19 (+0,08) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Liam … Joao … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,15 5,40 87,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,08 12,85 92,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Liam …: +19,1% Joao …: -19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #258
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Ranking #207
UTR Rating 14,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #305
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 61,0000
rank_ratio 1,4178
log_rank_ratio 0,3491
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 131,0000
best_rank_diff 74,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 61,2903
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,2162
surface_matches_ratio 15,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,2903
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,1515
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2258
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,6284
first_serve_won_diff 2,4000
second_serve_won_diff 9,6000
bp_saved_diff 20,0000
bp_converted_diff 48,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,2742
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 48,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 39,4800
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 25,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3045
serve_consistency_p2 9,5989
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,3972
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0519
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4390
elite_surface_amplifier 61,2903
UTR
utr_diff 0,0800
utr_p1 0,7376
utr_p2 0,7282
utr_advantage 0,5622
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25490
API ID 15492415
Gamdom ID 664099
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25490,
    "api_id": 15492415,
    "gamdom_id": 664099,
    "player1": "Liam Draxl",
    "player2": "Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 5.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 5.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9222,
    "prob_p2": 0.0778,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9222,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 14.27,
      "utr_ranking": 258,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 207,
      "utr_singles": 14.19,
      "utr_ranking": 305,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.27,
      "ranking": 258,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.19,
      "ranking": 305,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7376470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.728235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 1.417808219178082,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 131,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 47.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.29032258064516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.5621925509487005,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 74,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.34911217155703256,
    "rank_advantage": 61,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 61.29032258064516,
    "bp_converted_diff": 48.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.628387096774183,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.274193548387097,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.3999999999999915,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.30445935136603,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.598904399043601,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.39719761156006,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.151515151515156,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 9.600000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 15.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 39.480000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 61.29032258064516,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 25,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05190322580645168,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43900000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.2161616161616133,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}