Gabriel Diallo vs Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 05:45
07 Feb 2026, 05:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gabriel Diallo
Gabriel …: 93,7%
Gustavo …: 6,3%
¿Por qué Gabriel Diallo?
UTR 15,37 vs 14,59
(+0,78)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Gabriel … | Gustavo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,13 | 6,00 | 88,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,07 | 15,87 | 93,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Gabriel …: +14,3%
Gustavo …: -14,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Gabriel Diallo
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
15,37 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Gustavo Heide
Ranking
#253
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 214,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,4872 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8698 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 960,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 109,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,3987 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 31,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6957 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0323 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 22,6400 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 24,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -10,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,4900 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 19,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8091 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7398 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4198 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 96,5072 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1979 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2860 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 154,8387 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8671 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2069 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25491
API ID
15492416
Gamdom ID
664109
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25491,
"api_id": 15492416,
"gamdom_id": 664109,
"player1": "Gabriel Diallo",
"player2": "Gustavo Heide",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T01:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 6.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.17
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.937,
"prob_p2": 0.063,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.937,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 15.37,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 253,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.37,
"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8670588235294117,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.7799999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 6.487179487179487,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 960,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.600000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -32.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.206942590120156,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 109,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8698278425978738,
"rank_advantage": 214,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 51.61290322580645,
"bp_converted_diff": -10.700000000000003,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 22.639999999999993,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8091286307053942,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 24.199999999999996,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.03225806451612903,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.739796357293341,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.419775418172303,
"surface_rank_synergy": 96.50724348892251,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.42857142857142,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.69565217391305,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
"surface_matches_ratio": 31.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.490000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 154.83870967741933,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19787096774193547,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.28600000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.398716356107665,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}