Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Fils
Montpellier | Hard | Quarterfinals
06 Feb 2026, 21:30
06 Feb 2026, 21:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix …: 58,6%
Arthur …: 41,4%
¿Por qué Felix Auger-Aliassime?
UTR 15,94 vs 15,50
(+0,44)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Felix … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,50 | 2,63 | 66,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,51 | 2,55 | 66,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,71 | 2,41 | 58,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Felix …: -5,1%
Arthur …: +5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
15,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
37/52 = 71,2%
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#21
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
11/18 = 61,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 34,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,6582 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2615,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,0427 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,4416 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,8889 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1538 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,6429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 59,0909 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4231 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,4544 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9419 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,7940 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,9962 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4303 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,0726 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27,8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0871 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1019 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7600 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2455 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,0103 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,6531 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1775 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1451 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,0855 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8824 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,7990 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25492
API ID
15441202
Gamdom ID
638734
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25492,
"api_id": 15441202,
"gamdom_id": 638734,
"player1": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
"player2": "Arthur Fils",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-02-06T17:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.63
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.51,
"p2": 2.55
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.55
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5857,
"prob_p2": 0.4143,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5857,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 8,
"utr_singles": 15.94,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
"wr_surface_wins": 37,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.5,
"utr_ranking": 21,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.94,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.5,
"ranking": 21,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8823529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.4399999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 5.25,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 2615,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.996153846153845,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -31.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.15384615384616,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.111111111111114,
"utr_advantage": 2.798982188295162,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.6582280766035324,
"rank_advantage": 34,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.76,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.042735042735046,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.430341880341878,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.454444444444448,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0870967741935484,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1018518518518519,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.072649572649572,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.941880341880349,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4230769230769231,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.245473242255137,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.010291124386991,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.65314521375343,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.64285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.09090909090909,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.794017094017093,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.888888888888889,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.820000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.085470085470092,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17753846153846153,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1451111111111112,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.441558441558437,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}