Jan-Lennard Struff vs Gonzalo Bueno
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 17:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jan-Lennard Struff
Jan-Lennard …: 76,3% Gonzalo …: 23,7%
¿Por qué Jan-Lennard Struff?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jan-Lennard … Gonzalo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,13 6,20 88,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,23 76,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Jan-Lennard …: -10,3% Gonzalo …: +10,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan-Lennard Struff
Ranking #84
UTR Rating 15,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Gonzalo Bueno
Ranking #217
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 133,0000
rank_ratio 2,5833
log_rank_ratio 0,9491
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 441,0000
best_rank_diff 184,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 41,1765
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,8909
surface_matches_ratio 17,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 41,1765
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 42,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,4516
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1765
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 71,4106
first_serve_won_diff 74,8000
second_serve_won_diff 51,8000
bp_saved_diff 55,8000
bp_converted_diff 33,0000
aces_per_match_diff 9,2353
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 32,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,0390
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 18,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0606
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,3785
serve_consistency_p2 10,1000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 39,0798
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2212
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3670
elite_surface_amplifier 82,3529
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8294
utr_p2 0,8294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25497
API ID 15490516
Gamdom ID 662566
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25497,
    "api_id": 15490516,
    "gamdom_id": 662566,
    "player1": "Jan-Lennard Struff",
    "player2": "Gonzalo Bueno",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T13:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 6.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 5.55
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7634,
    "prob_p2": 0.2366,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7634,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": 15.05,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 217,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.05,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.8294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 2.5833333333333335,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 32.0,
    "points_diff": 441,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 55.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 41.17647058823529,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 184,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.949080554697146,
    "rank_advantage": 133,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 41.17647058823529,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 71.41058823529411,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0606060606060606,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.235294117647058,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 74.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.17647058823529413,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.378500814160542,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.100015968262689,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 39.07978754635307,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.451612903225815,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 51.8,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 17.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.0390000000000015,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 82.35294117647058,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22123529411764709,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.367,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.890937019969283,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}