Matej Dodig vs August Holmgren
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 18:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
August Holmgren
Matej …: 19,1% August …: 80,9%
¿Por qué August Holmgren?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,32 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matej … August … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,86 1,95 53,8%
IA Fair Odds 5,23 1,24 19,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matej Dodig
Ranking #235
UTR Rating 14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #328
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
August Holmgren
Ranking #199
UTR Rating 14,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #218
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -36,0000
rank_ratio 0,8468
log_rank_ratio -0,1663
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -59,0000
best_rank_diff -87,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -56,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3282
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,0638
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,1724
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,5667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -73,8200
first_serve_won_diff -74,4000
second_serve_won_diff -63,4000
bp_saved_diff -68,8000
bp_converted_diff -29,7000
aces_per_match_diff -8,8000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,3000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 26,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 26,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4545
serve_consistency_p1 9,8526
serve_consistency_p2 10,9834
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,3117
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4640
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0240
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,7153
utr_p2 0,7435
utr_advantage -1,6901
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25498
API ID 15490023
Gamdom ID 662549
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25498,
    "api_id": 15490023,
    "gamdom_id": 662549,
    "player1": "Matej Dodig",
    "player2": "August Holmgren",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T14:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.82,
      "p2": 1.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1913,
    "prob_p2": 0.8087,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8087,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 235,
      "utr_singles": 14.08,
      "utr_ranking": 328,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 199,
      "utr_singles": 14.32,
      "utr_ranking": 218,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.08,
      "ranking": 328,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.32,
      "ranking": 218,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7152941176470589,
    "utr_p2": 0.7435294117647059,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8468085106382979,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -59,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -68.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 10.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.00000000000001,
    "utr_advantage": -1.690140845070424,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -87,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.16628068941966656,
    "rank_advantage": -36,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45454545454545453,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -56.00000000000001,
    "bp_converted_diff": -29.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -73.82,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -8.8,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -74.4,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.852565169424098,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.983387456994356,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.311718607501328,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.172413793103445,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -63.4,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.299999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.46399999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.02400000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.3281976033259952,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}