Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 18:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick …: 92,2% Juan …: 7,8%
¿Por qué Yannick Hanfmann?
UTR 15,29 vs 14,24 (+1,05) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yannick … Juan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 4,50 85,7%
Gamdom 1,15 5,60 87,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,08 12,79 92,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Yannick …: +12,8% Juan …: -12,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yannick Hanfmann
Ranking #93
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #49
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking #284
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #265
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 191,0000
rank_ratio 3,0538
log_rank_ratio 1,1164
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 469,0000
best_rank_diff 15,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 53,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3758
surface_matches_ratio 15,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,4737
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,4067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,5667
first_serve_won_diff 7,0000
second_serve_won_diff -8,0000
bp_saved_diff 12,1000
bp_converted_diff -23,0000
aces_per_match_diff 3,7333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 38,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -10,9310
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 22,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7458
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 5,2171
serve_consistency_p2 6,8179
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 59,5400
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1577
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3090
elite_surface_amplifier 106,6667
UTR
utr_diff 1,0500
utr_p1 0,8576
utr_p2 0,7341
utr_advantage 7,1114
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25499
API ID 15490518
Gamdom ID 662567
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25499,
    "api_id": 15490518,
    "gamdom_id": 662567,
    "player1": "Yannick Hanfmann",
    "player2": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T14:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1666666666666667,
      "p2": 4.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.5
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9218,
    "prob_p2": 0.0782,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9218,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 93,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 49,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 284,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 265,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 49,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 265,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8576470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 1.049999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 3.053763440860215,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 469,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.100000000000009,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.111412123264469,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 15,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1163747450079502,
    "rank_advantage": 191,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -23.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.566666666666663,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7457627118644068,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.7333333333333334,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.217063709898543,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.817861391832294,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 59.53998640042401,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.473684210526315,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 15.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -10.930999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 106.66666666666667,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15766666666666673,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30899999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.375789473684211,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}