Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Pablo Varillas
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 18:20
07 Feb 2026, 18:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yannick Hanfmann
Yannick …: 92,2%
Juan …: 7,8%
¿Por qué Yannick Hanfmann?
UTR 15,29 vs 14,24
(+1,05)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yannick … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 4,50 | 85,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,15 | 5,60 | 87,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,08 | 12,79 | 92,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yannick …: +12,8%
Juan …: -12,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yannick Hanfmann
Ranking
#93
UTR Rating
15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Juan Pablo Varillas
Ranking
#284
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#265
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 191,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,0538 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1164 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 469,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,3758 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 15,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,6316 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,4737 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,5667 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -23,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,7333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10,9310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7458 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2171 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8179 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 59,5400 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1577 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 106,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,1114 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25499
API ID
15490518
Gamdom ID
662567
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25499,
"api_id": 15490518,
"gamdom_id": 662567,
"player1": "Yannick Hanfmann",
"player2": "Juan Pablo Varillas",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T14:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1666666666666667,
"p2": 4.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.15,
"p2": 5.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.13,
"p2": 5.5
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9218,
"prob_p2": 0.0782,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9218,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 93,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 284,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 265,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.29,
"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 265,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_diff": 1.049999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 3.053763440860215,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 469,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.100000000000009,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 7.111412123264469,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1163747450079502,
"rank_advantage": 191,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 53.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": -23.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.566666666666663,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7457627118644068,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.7333333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.4066666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.217063709898543,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.817861391832294,
"surface_rank_synergy": 59.53998640042401,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.473684210526315,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 15.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.930999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 106.66666666666667,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 22,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.15766666666666673,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30899999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.375789473684211,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}