Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 02:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alejandro Tabilo
Alejandro …: 67,9% Dusan …: 32,1%
¿Por qué Alejandro Tabilo?
UTR 15,04 vs 14,44 (+0,60) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alejandro … Dusan … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,39 2,95 71,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,11 67,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Tabilo
Ranking #73
UTR Rating 15,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #86
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Dusan Lajovic
Ranking #123
UTR Rating 14,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #203
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 50,0000
rank_ratio 1,6849
log_rank_ratio 0,5217
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 271,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,6923
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,9503
surface_matches_ratio 1,7333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 57,6923
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 56,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,1053
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 15,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,5000
combined_confidence 0,6833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,5790
first_serve_won_diff 10,8000
second_serve_won_diff 5,4000
bp_saved_diff 7,9000
bp_converted_diff 1,2000
aces_per_match_diff 3,2795
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,4690
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 19,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7586
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 12,1568
serve_consistency_p2 8,3231
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,2305
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0269
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0500
elite_surface_amplifier 17,6923
UTR
utr_diff 0,6000
utr_p1 0,8282
utr_p2 0,7576
utr_advantage 4,0706
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25500
API ID 15491983
Gamdom ID 664488
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25500,
    "api_id": 15491983,
    "gamdom_id": 664488,
    "player1": "Alejandro Tabilo",
    "player2": "Dusan Lajovic",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T22:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.39,
      "p2": 2.95
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6789,
    "prob_p2": 0.3211,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6789,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 73,
      "utr_singles": 15.04,
      "utr_ranking": 86,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 123,
      "utr_singles": 14.44,
      "utr_ranking": 203,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.04,
      "ranking": 86,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.44,
      "ranking": 203,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.828235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.7576470588235293,
    "utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6849315068493151,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 271,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.8999999999999915,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -28.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_p1": 57.692307692307686,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.070556309362278,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5217249142240264,
    "rank_advantage": 50,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.692307692307686,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.1999999999999957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 15,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.57897435897435,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7586206896551724,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.6666666666666667,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.2794871794871803,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 10.799999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.156787845365045,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.323142031548631,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.230517713194311,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.3999999999999915,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.468999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 17.692307692307686,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 19,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.026923076923076827,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04999999999999993,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.95029239766082,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}