Liam Draxl vs Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 03:20
08 Feb 2026, 03:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 82,6%
Gustavo …: 17,4%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,27 vs 14,59
(-0,32)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Liam … | Gustavo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,22 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,21 | 5,74 | 82,6% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking
#146
UTR Rating
14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Gustavo Heide
Ranking
#253
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#153
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 107,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,7329 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5498 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 207,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,7701 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 31,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,2903 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,6957 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2258 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 18,0484 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 21,5000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,7742 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,5700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3045 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4198 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 33,6964 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0059 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3930 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 61,2903 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7376 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,2176 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25502
API ID
15492418
Gamdom ID
665301
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25502,
"api_id": 15492418,
"gamdom_id": 665301,
"player1": "Liam Draxl",
"player2": "Gustavo Heide",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T23:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.22
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.58,
"p2": 2.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8257,
"prob_p2": 0.1743,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8257,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 146,
"utr_singles": 14.27,
"utr_ranking": 258,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 253,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 153,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.27,
"ranking": 258,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 153,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7376470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.7328767123287672,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 207,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 17.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.29032258064516,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -2.2176022176022196,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 29,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5497828670191838,
"rank_advantage": 107,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 61.29032258064516,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 18.048387096774185,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.774193548387097,
"combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 21.499999999999993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.30445935136603,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.419775418172303,
"surface_rank_synergy": 33.696369268917714,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.69565217391305,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 31.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.57,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 61.29032258064516,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.00590322580645164,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.393,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.7701449275362338,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}