Liam Draxl vs Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 03:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Liam Draxl
Liam …: 82,6% Gustavo …: 17,4%
¿Por qué Liam Draxl?
UTR 14,27 vs 14,59 (-0,32) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Liam … Gustavo … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,64 2,22 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,21 5,74 82,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liam Draxl
Ranking #146
UTR Rating 14,27 Pro
UTR Ranking #258
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Gustavo Heide
Ranking #253
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #153
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 107,0000
rank_ratio 1,7329
log_rank_ratio 0,5498
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 207,0000
best_rank_diff 29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 61,2903
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,7701
surface_matches_ratio 31,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,2903
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 62,6957
p1_surface_matches 31,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2258
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,6567
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 18,0484
first_serve_won_diff 21,5000
second_serve_won_diff 12,5000
bp_saved_diff 15,5000
bp_converted_diff -1,3000
aces_per_match_diff 1,7742
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 18,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,5700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,3045
serve_consistency_p2 7,4198
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 33,6964
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0059
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3930
elite_surface_amplifier 61,2903
UTR
utr_diff -0,3200
utr_p1 0,7376
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage -2,2176
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25502
API ID 15492418
Gamdom ID 665301
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25502,
    "api_id": 15492418,
    "gamdom_id": 665301,
    "player1": "Liam Draxl",
    "player2": "Gustavo Heide",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T23:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.22
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.58,
      "p2": 2.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8257,
    "prob_p2": 0.1743,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8257,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 146,
      "utr_singles": 14.27,
      "utr_ranking": 258,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 253,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 153,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.27,
      "ranking": 258,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 153,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7376470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.7328767123287672,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": 207,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 17.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.29032258064516,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.2176022176022196,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5497828670191838,
    "rank_advantage": 107,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 61.29032258064516,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
    "p1_surface_matches": 31,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 18.048387096774185,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.774193548387097,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6566666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 21.499999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22580645161290322,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.30445935136603,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.419775418172303,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 33.696369268917714,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.69565217391305,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 31.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.57,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 61.29032258064516,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.00590322580645164,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.393,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.7701449275362338,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}