Sebastian Dominko vs Yanki Erel
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yanki Erel
Sebastian …: 41,9%
Yanki …: 58,1%
¿Por qué Yanki Erel?
UTR 13,83 vs 14,24
(-0,41)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Yanki … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,74 | 2,10 | 57,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,38 | 1,72 | 41,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Dominko
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,83 General
UTR Ranking
#502
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR
/ = %
Yanki Erel
Ranking
#436
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#329
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8720 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1370 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -107,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -175,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | 44,4444 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 31,1333 | |
| current_streak_diff | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,6301 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3478 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5640 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,9213 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25508
API ID
15490770
Gamdom ID
662600
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25508,
"api_id": 15490770,
"gamdom_id": 662600,
"player1": "Sebastian Dominko",
"player2": "Yanki Erel",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.74,
"p2": 2.1
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.08
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4193,
"prob_p2": 0.5807,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5807,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.83,
"utr_ranking": 502,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 436,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 329,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.83,
"ranking": 502,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 329,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6858823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.872,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"points_diff": -107,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 44.44444444444443,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -2.9212682579266134,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -175,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.13696585507315742,
"rank_advantage": -64,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.630114214194404,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.347778168448329,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 31.133333333333326,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43600000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.564,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}