Sebastian Dominko vs Yanki Erel
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yanki Erel
Sebastian …: 41,9% Yanki …: 58,1%
¿Por qué Yanki Erel?
UTR 13,83 vs 14,24 (-0,41) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Yanki … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,74 2,10 57,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,38 1,72 41,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Dominko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,83 General
UTR Ranking #502
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR / = %
Yanki Erel
Ranking #436
UTR Rating 14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #329
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -64,0000
rank_ratio 0,8720
log_rank_ratio -0,1370
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -107,0000
best_rank_diff -175,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,3333
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 55,5556
momentum_diff 44,4444
weighted_momentum_diff 31,1333
current_streak_diff 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 26,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 10,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6301
serve_consistency_p2 5,3478
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5640
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4100
utr_p1 0,6859
utr_p2 0,7341
utr_advantage -2,9213
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25508
API ID 15490770
Gamdom ID 662600
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25508,
    "api_id": 15490770,
    "gamdom_id": 662600,
    "player1": "Sebastian Dominko",
    "player2": "Yanki Erel",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.74,
      "p2": 2.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.08
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4193,
    "prob_p2": 0.5807,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5807,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.83,
      "utr_ranking": 502,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 436,
      "utr_singles": 14.24,
      "utr_ranking": 329,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.83,
      "ranking": 502,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.24,
      "ranking": 329,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6858823529411765,
    "utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.872,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "points_diff": -107,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 44.44444444444443,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.9212682579266134,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -175,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.13696585507315742,
    "rank_advantage": -64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.630114214194404,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.347778168448329,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 31.133333333333326,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.43600000000000005,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.564,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}