Leandro Riedi vs Moez Echargui
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 17:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moez Echargui
Leandro …: 47,5% Moez …: 52,5%
¿Por qué Moez Echargui?
UTR 14,78 vs 14,59 (+0,19) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Leandro … Moez … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,00 81,8%
Gamdom 1,23 4,20 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,10 1,91 47,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Leandro …: -29,1% Moez …: +29,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leandro Riedi
Ranking #171
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #121
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR / = %
Moez Echargui
Ranking #142
UTR Rating 14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #152
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -29,0000
rank_ratio 0,8304
log_rank_ratio -0,1858
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -86,0000
best_rank_diff 17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -4,4444
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,3684
surface_matches_ratio 0,8333
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3,0000
surface_wr_p1 73,3333
surface_wr_p2 77,7778
surface_wr_p1_stable 68,4211
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,7273
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 18,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 0,6000
combined_confidence 0,5500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 8,3189
first_serve_won_diff 3,3000
second_serve_won_diff -3,4000
bp_saved_diff -2,1000
bp_converted_diff -25,7000
aces_per_match_diff 3,8444
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 27,0710
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 24,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 26,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 11,2130
serve_consistency_p2 7,7014
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,8259
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2623
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2488
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1900
utr_p1 0,7976
utr_p2 0,7753
utr_advantage 1,2938
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25509
API ID 15491091
Gamdom ID 665265
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25509,
    "api_id": 15491091,
    "gamdom_id": 665265,
    "player1": "Leandro Riedi",
    "player2": "Moez Echargui",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T13:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2222222222222223,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.2
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4753,
    "prob_p2": 0.5247,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5247,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 171,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 121,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 142,
      "utr_singles": 14.59,
      "utr_ranking": 152,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 121,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.59,
      "ranking": 152,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
    "utr_diff": 0.1899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8304093567251462,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -86,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.1000000000000014,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6,
    "surface_wr_p1": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 77.77777777777779,
    "utr_advantage": 1.2938372488934253,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.18583649890139917,
    "rank_advantage": -29,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -4.444444444444457,
    "bp_converted_diff": -25.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 18,
    "serve_quality_diff": 8.318888888888878,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.8444444444444446,
    "combined_confidence": 0.55,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.213009912380311,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.7014336677075255,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.825939995117332,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.400000000000013,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 27.071000000000005,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 24,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2623333333333333,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24877777777777788,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.368421052631584,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}