Leandro Riedi vs Moez Echargui
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 17:10
07 Feb 2026, 17:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Moez Echargui
Leandro …: 47,5%
Moez …: 52,5%
¿Por qué Moez Echargui?
UTR 14,78 vs 14,59
(+0,19)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Leandro … | Moez … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,00 | 81,8% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 4,20 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,10 | 1,91 | 47,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Leandro …: -29,1%
Moez …: +29,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Leandro Riedi
Ranking
#171
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Moez Echargui
Ranking
#142
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#152
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -29,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8304 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1858 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -86,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,4444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2,3684 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 68,4211 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,7273 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 15,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,3189 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -25,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,8444 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 32,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 27,0710 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 24,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 26,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,2130 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,7014 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,8259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2623 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2488 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,2938 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25509
API ID
15491091
Gamdom ID
665265
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25509,
"api_id": 15491091,
"gamdom_id": 665265,
"player1": "Leandro Riedi",
"player2": "Moez Echargui",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T13:10:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2222222222222223,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.09
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4753,
"prob_p2": 0.5247,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5247,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 171,
"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 142,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 152,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.78,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 152,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_diff": 0.1899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 0.8304093567251462,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"points_diff": -86,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.1000000000000014,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 32.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"surface_wr_p1": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.77777777777779,
"utr_advantage": 1.2938372488934253,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.18583649890139917,
"rank_advantage": -29,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.444444444444457,
"bp_converted_diff": -25.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 15,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.318888888888878,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.8444444444444446,
"combined_confidence": 0.55,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4666666666666667,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.213009912380311,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.7014336677075255,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.825939995117332,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 68.42105263157895,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.400000000000013,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 27.071000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 24,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 26,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2623333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24877777777777788,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.368421052631584,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3
},
"feature_importance": {}
}