Soonwoo Kwon vs Marco Trungelliti
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Trungelliti
Soonwoo …: 29,0% Marco …: 71,0%
¿Por qué Marco Trungelliti?
UTR 14,35 vs 14,48 (-0,13) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Soonwoo … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,29 3,65 77,5%
IA Fair Odds 3,44 1,41 29,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Soonwoo …: -43,3% Marco …: +43,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Soonwoo Kwon
Ranking #343
UTR Rating 14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #222
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR / = %
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking #134
UTR Rating 14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #177
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -209,0000
rank_ratio 0,3907
log_rank_ratio -0,9399
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -330,0000
best_rank_diff 60,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0444
surface_matches_ratio 0,3750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 33,3333
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 36,1905
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,3810
p1_surface_matches 3,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3400
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,5733
first_serve_won_diff -3,3000
second_serve_won_diff -11,2000
bp_saved_diff -2,1000
bp_converted_diff 7,6000
aces_per_match_diff 3,2917
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -7,1429
weighted_momentum_diff -7,5771
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 296,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 23,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 0,0000
serve_consistency_p2 3,9878
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,6648
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0423
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2090
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1300
utr_p1 0,7471
utr_p2 0,7624
utr_advantage -0,9018
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25521
API ID 15494002
Gamdom ID 664830
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25521,
    "api_id": 15494002,
    "gamdom_id": 664830,
    "player1": "Soonwoo Kwon",
    "player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T05:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.29,
      "p2": 3.65
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2905,
    "prob_p2": 0.7095,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7095,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 343,
      "utr_singles": 14.35,
      "utr_ranking": 222,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 134,
      "utr_singles": 14.48,
      "utr_ranking": 177,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.35,
      "ranking": 222,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.48,
      "ranking": 177,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.7623529411764707,
    "utr_diff": -0.13000000000000078,
    "rank_ratio": 0.39067055393586003,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -330,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.0999999999999943,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
    "p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.901838362816516,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 60,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.9398906472150286,
    "rank_advantage": -209,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.66666666666667,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.599999999999994,
    "p1_surface_matches": 3,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.5733333333333306,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.291666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.299999999999997,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9877610026785644,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.66484412025048,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.19047619047618,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095238,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.20000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.375,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -7.57714285714286,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 296,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04233333333333322,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20899999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.044444444444446,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}