Soonwoo Kwon vs Marco Trungelliti
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 09:20
07 Feb 2026, 09:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Trungelliti
Soonwoo …: 29,0%
Marco …: 71,0%
¿Por qué Marco Trungelliti?
UTR 14,35 vs 14,48
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Soonwoo … | Marco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 3,65 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,44 | 1,41 | 29,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Soonwoo …: -43,3%
Marco …: +43,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Soonwoo Kwon
Ranking
#343
UTR Rating
14,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#222
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR
/ = %
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking
#134
UTR Rating
14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#177
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -209,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3907 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,9399 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -330,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 60,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3750 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 36,1905 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,3810 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 8,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4067 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3733 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,5733 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -11,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,2917 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -7,1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,5771 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 296,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 23,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,9878 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,6648 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0423 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7624 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9018 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25521
API ID
15494002
Gamdom ID
664830
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25521,
"api_id": 15494002,
"gamdom_id": 664830,
"player1": "Soonwoo Kwon",
"player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T05:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 3.65
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2905,
"prob_p2": 0.7095,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7095,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 343,
"utr_singles": 14.35,
"utr_ranking": 222,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 134,
"utr_singles": 14.48,
"utr_ranking": 177,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.35,
"ranking": 222,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.48,
"ranking": 177,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7470588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.7623529411764707,
"utr_diff": -0.13000000000000078,
"rank_ratio": 0.39067055393586003,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -330,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.0999999999999943,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -0.901838362816516,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 60,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.9398906472150286,
"rank_advantage": -209,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.66666666666667,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.599999999999994,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 8,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5733333333333306,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.291666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.299999999999997,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.9877610026785644,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.66484412025048,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 36.19047619047618,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095238,
"second_serve_won_diff": -11.20000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.375,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.57714285714286,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 296,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 23,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04233333333333322,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.20899999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.044444444444446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}