James Watt vs Mirza Basic
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 06:15
07 Feb 2026, 06:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirza Basic
James …: 42,8%
Mirza …: 57,2%
¿Por qué Mirza Basic?
UTR 13,76 vs 13,85
(-0,09)
— Niveles similares
James …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L1
Mirza …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | James … | Mirza … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,10 | 60,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,70 | 2,17 | 58,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 42,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
James …: -12,9%
Mirza …: +12,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
James Watt
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#523
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR
/ = %
Mirza Basic
Ranking
#491
UTR Rating
13,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#468
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR
/ = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
James Watt
Record 2025
21W - 20L (51%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Mirza Basic
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9820 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0182 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -86,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -426,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 33,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -27,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1487 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4910 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5090 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6882 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,6519 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25524
API ID
15493994
Gamdom ID
665270
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25524,
"api_id": 15493994,
"gamdom_id": 665270,
"player1": "James Watt",
"player2": "Mirza Basic",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T02:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.6666666666666665,
"p2": 2.1
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4283,
"prob_p2": 0.5717,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5717,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.76,
"utr_ranking": 523,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.45,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.4,
"opponent_name": "Yuki Mochizuki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.34,
"opponent_name": "Ryotaro Taguchi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.85,
"opponent_name": "Zura Tkemaladze"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.42,
"opponent_name": "Aleksandre Bakshi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.45,
"opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:48.838921+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 491,
"utr_singles": 13.85,
"utr_ranking": 468,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.76,
"ranking": 523,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.85,
"ranking": 468,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6776470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.6882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.982,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": -86,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -27.777777777777775,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.6519377037305314,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -426,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.01816397062767118,
"rank_advantage": -9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.148715805427605,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 25,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.491,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.509,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.000000000000001,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}