Hyeon Chung vs Marco Trungelliti
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 10:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marco Trungelliti
Hyeon …: 31,4% Marco …: 68,6%
¿Por qué Marco Trungelliti?
UTR 13,69 vs 14,48 (-0,79) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Hyeon … Marco … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,21 1,54 45,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,18 1,46 31,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hyeon Chung
Ranking #392
UTR Rating 13,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #558
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR / = %
Marco Trungelliti
Ranking #134
UTR Rating 14,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #177
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -258,0000
rank_ratio 0,3418
log_rank_ratio -1,0734
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -352,0000
best_rank_diff 93,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -5,7827
surface_matches_ratio 3,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,7500
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,3810
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 8,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 0,4067
combined_confidence 0,6700
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,2957
first_serve_won_diff -12,0000
second_serve_won_diff -4,2000
bp_saved_diff -6,3000
bp_converted_diff 15,1000
aces_per_match_diff -2,0179
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,8200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 88,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 24,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,2629
serve_consistency_p2 3,9878
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 7,6673
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1866
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2580
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7900
utr_p1 0,6694
utr_p2 0,7624
utr_advantage -5,6088
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25540
API ID 15494003
Gamdom ID 665273
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25540,
    "api_id": 15494003,
    "gamdom_id": 665273,
    "player1": "Hyeon Chung",
    "player2": "Marco Trungelliti",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T06:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.54
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.38,
      "p2": 1.58
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.314,
    "prob_p2": 0.686,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.686,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 392,
      "utr_singles": 13.69,
      "utr_ranking": 558,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 134,
      "utr_singles": 14.48,
      "utr_ranking": 177,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.69,
      "ranking": 558,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.48,
      "ranking": 177,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6694117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.7623529411764707,
    "utr_diff": -0.7900000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 0.34183673469387754,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -352,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.4066666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -5.608803691870791,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 93,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.073422039839551,
    "rank_advantage": -258,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.099999999999998,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 8,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.29571428571429,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.017857142857143,
    "combined_confidence": 0.67,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.26286450559283,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.9877610026785644,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 7.667300284568225,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.38095238095238,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.200000000000003,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.82,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 88,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18657142857142855,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.258,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -5.782738095238095,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}