Sumit Nagal vs Guy Den Ouden
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sumit Nagal
Sumit …: 77,5% Guy …: 22,5%
¿Por qué Sumit Nagal?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,45 (-0,03) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sumit … Guy … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,50 66,7%
Gamdom 1,60 2,35 62,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,29 4,45 77,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Sumit …: +15,0% Guy …: -15,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sumit Nagal
Ranking #281
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #199
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Guy Den Ouden
Ranking #162
UTR Rating 14,45 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 14% (7p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -119,0000
rank_ratio 0,5765
log_rank_ratio -0,5508
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -185,0000
best_rank_diff 79,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 40,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0444
surface_matches_ratio 5,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 49,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 67,0000
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,9000
first_serve_won_diff 4,8000
second_serve_won_diff -11,0000
bp_saved_diff 41,2000
bp_converted_diff 10,7000
aces_per_match_diff -1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff 32,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 23,9200
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 72,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,5549
serve_consistency_p2 13,5211
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -22,0303
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0190
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,6190
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0300
utr_p1 0,7553
utr_p2 0,7588
utr_advantage -0,2078
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25545
API ID 15494440
Gamdom ID 664804
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status live
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25545,
    "api_id": 15494440,
    "gamdom_id": 664804,
    "player1": "Sumit Nagal",
    "player2": "Guy Den Ouden",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "live"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.6,
      "p2": 2.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.65,
      "p2": 2.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7751,
    "prob_p2": 0.2249,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7751,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 281,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 199,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 162,
      "utr_singles": 14.45,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 14.285714285714285,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 199,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.45,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7552941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7588235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5765124555160143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": -185,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 41.2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 32.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.20782819535849922,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 79,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5507583341013617,
    "rank_advantage": -119,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 40.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.700000000000003,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.8999999999999986,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.85,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.800000000000004,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.55493600539838,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.521074511082306,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -22.030333364054467,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -11.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 5.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 23.92,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 72,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.019000000000000017,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.619,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.044444444444444,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}