Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng vs Otto Virtanen
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 11:15
07 Feb 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otto Virtanen
Siu …: 26,2%
Otto …: 73,8%
¿Por qué Otto Virtanen?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Siu … | Otto … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 34,00 | 1,01 | 2,9% |
| Gamdom | 16,00 | 6,3% | |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,81 | 1,36 | 26,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Siu …: +23,4%
Otto …: -23,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR
/ = %
Otto Virtanen
Ranking
#116
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#103
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -384,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2320 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,4610 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -513,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -409,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,7500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -64,1367 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -68,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -56,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -72,8000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -50,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -6,3333 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9957 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 48,7006 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5507 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25549
API ID
15494244
Gamdom ID
665276
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25549,
"api_id": 15494244,
"gamdom_id": 665276,
"player1": "Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng",
"player2": "Otto Virtanen",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T07:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 34.0,
"p2": 1.005
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 16.0,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 27.0,
"p2": 1.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2624,
"prob_p2": 0.7376,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7376,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 116,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 103,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 103,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.232,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -513,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -72.8,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -409,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.4610179073158271,
"rank_advantage": -384,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -64.13666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
"aces_per_match_diff": -6.333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -68.8,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.995680495096743,
"surface_rank_synergy": 48.700596910527565,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -56.9,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.629999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11599999999999999,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5506666666666667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.75,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}