Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng vs Otto Virtanen
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 11:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otto Virtanen
Siu …: 26,2% Otto …: 73,8%
¿Por qué Otto Virtanen?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Siu … Otto … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 34,00 1,01 2,9%
Gamdom 16,00 6,3%
IA Fair Odds 3,81 1,36 26,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Siu …: +23,4% Otto …: -23,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng
Ranking #-
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR / = %
Otto Virtanen
Ranking #116
UTR Rating 14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking #103
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -384,0000
rank_ratio 0,2320
log_rank_ratio -1,4610
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -513,0000
best_rank_diff -409,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,7500
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,5000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,3800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -64,1367
first_serve_won_diff -68,8000
second_serve_won_diff -56,9000
bp_saved_diff -72,8000
bp_converted_diff -50,0000
aces_per_match_diff -6,3333
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -20,6300
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 5,9957
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 48,7006
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1160
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5507
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8082
utr_p2 0,8082
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25549
API ID 15494244
Gamdom ID 665276
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25549,
    "api_id": 15494244,
    "gamdom_id": 665276,
    "player1": "Siu Chi Nicholas Cheng",
    "player2": "Otto Virtanen",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T07:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 34.0,
      "p2": 1.005
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 16.0,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 27.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2624,
    "prob_p2": 0.7376,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7376,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 116,
      "utr_singles": 14.87,
      "utr_ranking": 103,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.87,
      "ranking": 103,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.232,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -513,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -72.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -409,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.4610179073158271,
    "rank_advantage": -384,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": -64.13666666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -6.333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.38,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -68.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.995680495096743,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 48.700596910527565,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -56.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -20.629999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11599999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5506666666666667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.75,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}