Sumit Nagal vs Jesper De Jong
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jesper De Jong
Sumit …: 36,0% Jesper …: 64,0%
¿Por qué Jesper De Jong?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,94 (-0,52) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sumit … Jesper … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,78 1,56 36,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sumit Nagal
Ranking #281
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #199
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR / = %
Jesper De Jong
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #95
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -193,0000
rank_ratio 0,3132
log_rank_ratio -1,1610
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -487,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,8462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,5620
surface_matches_ratio 0,3846
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,8462
surface_wr_p1_stable 49,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 52,9412
p1_surface_matches 5,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3667
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,4200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -26,5546
first_serve_won_diff -14,6000
second_serve_won_diff -12,9000
bp_saved_diff 4,3000
bp_converted_diff 3,6000
aces_per_match_diff -7,6923
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 2,0000
momentum_diff 38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,4890
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 73,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 20,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9767
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5833
serve_consistency_p1 9,5549
serve_consistency_p2 8,6180
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,0756
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0930
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1545
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5200
utr_p1 0,7553
utr_p2 0,8165
utr_advantage -3,5422
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25571
API ID 15494441
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25571,
    "api_id": 15494441,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sumit Nagal",
    "player2": "Jesper De Jong",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-08T09:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3596,
    "prob_p2": 0.6404,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6404,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 281,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 199,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 95,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 199,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 95,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7552941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.31316725978647686,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 2.0,
    "points_diff": -487,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.29999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
    "utr_advantage": -3.542234332425066,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1610178548555392,
    "rank_advantage": -193,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.846153846153847,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
    "p1_surface_matches": 5,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": -26.55461538461538,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.85,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9767441860465116,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.692307692307692,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -14.600000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.55493600539838,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.617962309990526,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.075631836461312,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -12.900000000000006,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.38461538461538464,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.489000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 73,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09299999999999997,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1545384615384615,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.5619607843137273,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}