Sumit Nagal vs Jesper De Jong
Davis Cup | |
08 Feb 2026, 13:40
08 Feb 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jesper De Jong
Sumit …: 36,0%
Jesper …: 64,0%
¿Por qué Jesper De Jong?
UTR 14,42 vs 14,94
(-0,52)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sumit … | Jesper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,78 | 1,56 | 36,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sumit Nagal
Ranking
#281
UTR Rating
14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#199
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Jesper De Jong
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -193,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3132 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,1610 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -487,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,5620 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3846 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 49,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,9412 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 5,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -26,5546 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -14,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -12,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7,6923 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,4890 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 73,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9767 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5549 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6180 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,0756 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0930 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1545 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7553 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8165 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,5422 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25571
API ID
15494441
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25571,
"api_id": 15494441,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sumit Nagal",
"player2": "Jesper De Jong",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-08T09:40:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3596,
"prob_p2": 0.6404,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6404,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 281,
"utr_singles": 14.42,
"utr_ranking": 199,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 14.94,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.42,
"ranking": 199,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.94,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
"utr_diff": -0.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.31316725978647686,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": -487,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.29999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.39999999999999997,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.84615384615385,
"utr_advantage": -3.542234332425066,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.1610178548555392,
"rank_advantage": -193,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.846153846153847,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.6000000000000014,
"p1_surface_matches": 5,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": -26.55461538461538,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.85,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9767441860465116,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.692307692307692,
"combined_confidence": 0.42,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -14.600000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.55493600539838,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.617962309990526,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.075631836461312,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 49.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.94117647058824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -12.900000000000006,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.38461538461538464,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.489000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 73,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 20,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09299999999999997,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1545384615384615,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.5619607843137273,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}