Alexander Vasilev vs Raphael Collignon
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Raphael Collignon
Alexander …: 12,6%
Raphael …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Raphael Collignon?
UTR 13,56 vs 14,99
(-1,43)
— Ligera ventaja
Alexander …
W41-L18
69% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L6
Raphael …
Sin datos
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Raphael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 8,00 | 1,06 | 12,5% |
| Gamdom | 9,20 | 1,06 | 10,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,95 | 1,14 | 12,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: +0,9%
Raphael …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Vasilev
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#641
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR
/ = %
Raphael Collignon
Ranking
#72
UTR Rating
14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking
#92
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Vasilev
Record 2025
41W - 18L (69%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
13,2
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Raphael Collignon
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -428,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1440 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,9379 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -777,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -428,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,7323 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,8462 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -67,4100 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -70,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -54,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -63,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -31,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -8,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 45,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 24,1667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 153,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 18,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9123 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2483 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 64,5981 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0720 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5947 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8224 | |
| utr_advantage | -10,0175 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25614
API ID
15495568
Gamdom ID
665214
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25614,
"api_id": 15495568,
"gamdom_id": 665214,
"player1": "Alexander Vasilev",
"player2": "Raphael Collignon",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 8.0,
"p2": 1.0625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 9.2,
"p2": 1.06
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.87,
"p2": 1.06
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1258,
"prob_p2": 0.8742,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8742,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.56,
"utr_ranking": 641,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 18,
"utr_v4_wr": 69.49152542372882,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.18,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.97,
"opponent_name": "Jacopo Vasami"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.71,
"opponent_name": "Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.32,
"opponent_name": "Oskari Paldanius"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.97,
"opponent_name": "Jacopo Vasami"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.32,
"opponent_name": "Oskari Paldanius"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:09.951816+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 72,
"utr_singles": 14.99,
"utr_ranking": 92,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.56,
"ranking": 641,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.99,
"ranking": 92,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6541176470588236,
"utr_p2": 0.8223529411764706,
"utr_diff": -1.4299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 0.144,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 10.0,
"points_diff": -777,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -63.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 45.55555555555556,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -10.017513134851136,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -428,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.9379419794061366,
"rank_advantage": -428,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": -31.2,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": -67.41,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9122807017543859,
"aces_per_match_diff": -8.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -70.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.2483098700145145,
"surface_rank_synergy": 64.59806598020454,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.84615384615385,
"second_serve_won_diff": -54.70000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 24.16666666666667,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 153,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07199999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5946666666666668,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7323076923076921,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}