Alexander Vasilev vs Raphael Collignon
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Raphael Collignon
Alexander …: 12,6% Raphael …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Raphael Collignon?
UTR 13,56 vs 14,99 (-1,43) — Ligera ventaja
Alexander …
W41-L18
69% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L6
Raphael …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (34%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Raphael … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 8,00 1,06 12,5%
Gamdom 9,20 1,06 10,9%
IA Fair Odds 7,95 1,14 12,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: +0,9% Raphael …: -0,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Vasilev
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #641
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR / = %
Raphael Collignon
Ranking #72
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alexander Vasilev
Record 2025 41W - 18L (69%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 13,2
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Raphael Collignon
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -428,0000
rank_ratio 0,1440
log_rank_ratio -1,9379
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -777,0000
best_rank_diff -428,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -33,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,7323
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,8462
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,3400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -67,4100
first_serve_won_diff -70,0000
second_serve_won_diff -54,7000
bp_saved_diff -63,5000
bp_converted_diff -31,2000
aces_per_match_diff -8,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2667
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 55,5556
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 45,5556
weighted_momentum_diff 24,1667
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 153,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 18,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9123
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 5,2483
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 64,5981
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0720
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5947
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,4300
utr_p1 0,6541
utr_p2 0,8224
utr_advantage -10,0175
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25614
API ID 15495568
Gamdom ID 665214
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25614,
    "api_id": 15495568,
    "gamdom_id": 665214,
    "player1": "Alexander Vasilev",
    "player2": "Raphael Collignon",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 8.0,
      "p2": 1.0625
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 9.2,
      "p2": 1.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.87,
      "p2": 1.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1258,
    "prob_p2": 0.8742,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8742,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.56,
      "utr_ranking": 641,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.49152542372882,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.18,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jacopo Vasami"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.71,
          "opponent_name": "Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Oskari Paldanius"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jacopo Vasami"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Oskari Paldanius"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:09.951816+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.56,
      "ranking": 641,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6541176470588236,
    "utr_p2": 0.8223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -1.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 0.144,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": -777,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -63.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 45.55555555555556,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": -10.017513134851136,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -428,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.9379419794061366,
    "rank_advantage": -428,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -33.33333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": -31.2,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": -67.41,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9122807017543859,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -8.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -70.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.2483098700145145,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 64.59806598020454,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.84615384615385,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.70000000000001,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.16666666666667,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 153,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 18,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.07199999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5946666666666668,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.7323076923076921,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}