Michael Bassem Sobhy vs Maks Kasnikowski
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
07 Feb 2026, 14:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maks Kasnikowski
Michael …: 27,5%
Maks …: 72,5%
¿Por qué Maks Kasnikowski?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michael … | Maks … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,50 | 1,18 | 22,2% |
| Gamdom | 5,00 | 1,18 | 20,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,64 | 1,38 | 27,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michael …: +6,7%
Maks …: -6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR
/ = %
Maks Kasnikowski
Ranking
#416
UTR Rating
14,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#316
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -84,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8320 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1839 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -113,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -332,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,7500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -62,5567 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -70,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -56,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -57,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -44,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,0833 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,3000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 117,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0956 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,2615 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0827 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7235 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25621
API ID
15496490
Gamdom ID
665796
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
live
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25621,
"api_id": 15496490,
"gamdom_id": 665796,
"player1": "Michael Bassem Sobhy",
"player2": "Maks Kasnikowski",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T10:10:00+00:00",
"status": "live"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.5,
"p2": 1.1818181818181819
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.18
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 14.4,
"p2": 1.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2751,
"prob_p2": 0.7249,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7249,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 416,
"utr_singles": 14.15,
"utr_ranking": 316,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.15,
"ranking": 316,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.723529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.723529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.832,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -113,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -57.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -332,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1839228381609285,
"rank_advantage": -84,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -44.20000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": -62.556666666666665,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.083333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -70.7,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.095576597712688,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.261522544061899,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"second_serve_won_diff": -56.79999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.299999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 117,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41600000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08266666666666656,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.75,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}