Fábián Marozsán vs Ethan Quinn
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Fábián …: 48,7% Ethan …: 51,3%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fábián … Ethan … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 2,05 1,95 48,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking #46
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #90
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22,0000
rank_ratio 1,4783
log_rank_ratio 0,3909
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 245,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,3750
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0584
surface_matches_ratio 0,7813
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 52,0000
surface_wr_p2 59,3750
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,7241
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,3333
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0400
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,4075
first_serve_won_diff -0,1000
second_serve_won_diff -1,3000
bp_saved_diff 10,2000
bp_converted_diff -4,5000
aces_per_match_diff -0,9837
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 52,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,7310
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 15,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 14,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1456
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9189
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2727
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3636
serve_consistency_p1 6,5305
serve_consistency_p2 4,6589
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,8826
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0020
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1158
elite_surface_amplifier -7,3750
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8329
utr_p2 0,8329
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25642
API ID 15496457
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25642,
    "api_id": 15496457,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
    "player2": "Ethan Quinn",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4871,
    "prob_p2": 0.5129,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5129,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 15.08,
      "utr_ranking": 90,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.08,
      "ranking": 90,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8329411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.8329411764705883,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.4782608695652173,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 52.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 245,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 10.200000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.375,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3908663086870116,
    "rank_advantage": 22,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.375,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.407499999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.9837499999999997,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.09999999999999432,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.04,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.5304977215365705,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.658906580690604,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.882639026566711,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.78125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7310000000000088,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -7.375,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0020000000000000018,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11575000000000002,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.058429118773947,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}