Fábián Marozsán vs Ethan Quinn
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ethan Quinn
Fábián …: 48,7%
Ethan …: 51,3%
¿Por qué Ethan Quinn?
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Fábián … | Ethan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2,05 | 1,95 | 48,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fábián Marozsán
Ranking
#46
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Ethan Quinn
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
15,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#90
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR
/ = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,4783 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3909 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 245,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,3750 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0584 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7813 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,7241 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0400 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,4075 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,9837 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,7310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 15,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1456 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9189 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2727 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3636 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5305 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,6589 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2,8826 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0020 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1158 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -7,3750 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8329 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8329 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
25642
API ID
15496457
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 25642,
"api_id": 15496457,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "F\u00e1bi\u00e1n Marozs\u00e1n",
"player2": "Ethan Quinn",
"tournament": "Davis Cup",
"surface": "",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-02-07T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4871,
"prob_p2": 0.5129,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5129,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 15.08,
"utr_ranking": 90,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.08,
"ranking": 90,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8329411764705883,
"utr_p2": 0.8329411764705883,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.4782608695652173,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 245,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.200000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 52.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 59.375,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 28,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3908663086870116,
"rank_advantage": 22,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2727272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.36363636363636365,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.375,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.407499999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.145631067961165,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.9837499999999997,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.09999999999999432,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.04,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.5304977215365705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.658906580690604,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.882639026566711,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.724137931034484,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.2999999999999972,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.78125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.7310000000000088,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -7.375,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 15,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0020000000000000018,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11575000000000002,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.058429118773947,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}