Zsombor Piros vs Tommy Paul
Davis Cup | |
07 Feb 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommy Paul
Zsombor …: 24,3% Tommy …: 75,7%
¿Por qué Tommy Paul?
UTR 14,93 vs 15,67 (-0,74) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Zsombor … Tommy … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 5,00 1,18 20,0%
IA Fair Odds 4,12 1,32 24,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Zsombor Piros
Ranking #176
UTR Rating 14,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 38% (8p)
WR / = %
Tommy Paul
Ranking #22
UTR Rating 15,67 Pro
UTR Ranking #15
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR / = %
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -154,0000
rank_ratio 0,1250
log_rank_ratio -2,0794
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1509,0000
best_rank_diff -98,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -18,4211
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,5647
surface_matches_ratio 0,3158
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 68,4211
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,1818
surface_wr_p2_stable 65,2174
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,5067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -12,3351
first_serve_won_diff -9,7000
second_serve_won_diff -1,5000
bp_saved_diff -8,3000
bp_converted_diff 4,0000
aces_per_match_diff -3,5175
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -56,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -56,7450
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 26,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 13,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3922
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1093
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2670
serve_consistency_p2 10,0813
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 38,3055
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1540
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0302
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7400
utr_p1 0,8153
utr_p2 0,9024
utr_advantage -4,8366
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 25644
API ID 15496456
Gamdom ID 665787
Torneo Davis Cup
Superficie
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 25644,
    "api_id": 15496456,
    "gamdom_id": 665787,
    "player1": "Zsombor Piros",
    "player2": "Tommy Paul",
    "tournament": "Davis Cup",
    "surface": "",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-02-07T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.55,
      "p2": 1.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2429,
    "prob_p2": 0.7571,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7571,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 176,
      "utr_singles": 14.93,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 37.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 22,
      "utr_singles": 15.67,
      "utr_ranking": 15,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.93,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.67,
      "ranking": 15,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8152941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.9023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.7400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -1509,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.29999999999999,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.39999999999999997,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -55.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 68.42105263157895,
    "utr_advantage": -4.836601307189543,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -98,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.0794415416798357,
    "rank_advantage": -154,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -18.421052631578945,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.000000000000007,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -12.335087719298237,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.39215686274509803,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1093247588424437,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.5175438596491224,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5066666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -9.699999999999996,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.266973994238029,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.08128705219219,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 38.30550208357592,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.18181818181819,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.21739130434783,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3157894736842105,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -56.74500000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 13,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15400000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.030210526315789465,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.564690382081684,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}